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September 17, 2024

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Good morning and welcome to this week’s Flight Path. Equities saw the “Go” trend return after a triplet of uncertain “Go Fish” bars. We saw blue “Go” bars from Wednesday on. Treasury bond prices remained in a strong “Go” trend painting blue bars the entire week. U.S. commodities remained in a “NoGo” trend this week but as the week came to a close we saw a couple of weaker pink bars. The dollar also saw its “NoGo” trend continue and after a string of weaker pink bars, we saw a strong purple “NoGo” bar to end the week.

$SPY Recovers From Uncertainty

The GoNoGo chart below shows that after several amber “Go Fish” bars representing uncertainty the “Go” trend found its feet again this past week. Strong blue “Go” bars returned on Wednesday and we saw prices climb close to prior highs once again. If we turn our attention to the oscillator panel we can see that the oscillator broke through the zero line into positive territory after having spent a few days below that level. Now, with momentum resurgent in the direction of the “Go” trend, we see a Go Trend Continuation Icon (green circle) under the price bar. We will watch to see if this gives price the push it needs to make a new higher high.

The longer time frame chart shows a strong recovery last week. Price made up all of the lost ground and closed near the very top of the week’s trading range. Now, with another strong blue “Go” bar and momentum in positive territory but not yet overbought, we will watch to see if price can climb further from here.

“NoGo” Trend Continues in Force for Treasury Rates

Treasury bond yields painted strong purple “NoGo” bars again this week and we saw a new lower low as the August low provided little support. GoNoGo Oscillator in the lower panel was rallying toward the zero line but has turned around and is falling once again toward oversold territory. Momentum is well and truly on the side of falling prices.

The Dollar’s “NoGo” Trend Survives Another Week

A strong purple “NoGo” bar returned at the end of the week after 4 straight weaker pink bars. Price failed to make a new higher high and rolled over mid week. Now, with a strong purple bar, we will look to see if price falls further. GoNoGo Oscillator is out of step with the trend which is interesting. Having broken out of a Max GoNoGo Squeeze into positive territory GoNoGo Oscillator is now at a value of 1. We will watch to see if this halts price’s move lower.

As part of Carl’s review of Gold charts, he explained how we use the close-ended fund, Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) to measure sentiment for Gold. Depending on how PHYS trades, it trades at a discount or premium based on the physical Gold that it holds. These discounts and premiums help us measure Gold sentiment.

Uranium (URA) and Nuclear Energy ETF (NLR) have formed double bottoms but how healthy do they look moving forward? Carl addresses this question.

Carl also discusses his thoughts on Intel (INTC) which saw quite a gain on Monday. Is the chart healthy though?

Market trend and condition was covered in Carl’s analysis of the SPY as well as a look at Gold, Gold Miners, Bitcoin, the Dollar and more on Bonds and yields.

We have our regular view of the Magnificent Seven and how these stocks are lined up to start the week.

Erin discusses the current sector rotation being displayed within the market and it is clear that traders are hedging their bets with entry into defensive sectors which are clearly outperforming.

The pair finish with an analysis of viewers’ symbol requests!

01:05 DP Signal Tables

03:37 Market Analysis

05:59 Gold Sentiment Discussion

09:50 Gold Miners, Bonds/Yields, Bitcoin

13:57 Magnificent Seven

18:41 Uranium and Nuclear Energy ETFs

21:43 Intel (INTC)

25:06 Questions

30:38 Sector Rotation

35:10 Symbol Requests

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Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces that our Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.09 per common share, payable in cash on October 15, 2024 to shareholders of record at the close of business on September 30, 2024 . This dividend is designated as an ‘eligible dividend’ for Canadian income tax purposes.

Dividend payments to non-residents of Canada will be subject to withholding taxes at the Canadian statutory rate of 25%.  Shareholders may be entitled to a reduced withholding tax rate under a tax treaty between their country of residence and Canada.  For further information, see Alvopetro’s website at https://alvopetro.com/Dividends-Non-resident-Shareholders .

Corporate Presentation

Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:

http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation .

Social   Media

Follow Alvopetro on our social media channels at the following links:

Twitter – https://twitter.com/AlvopetroEnergy
Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/alvopetro/
LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/company/alvopetro-energy-ltd

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.’s vision is to become a leading independent upstream and midstream operator in Brazil . Our strategy is to unlock the on-shore natural gas potential in the state of Bahia in Brazil, building off the development of our Caburé and Murucututu natural gas assets and our strategic midstream infrastructure.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.

All amounts contained in   this new release are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.

Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language. This news release contains ‘forward-looking information’ within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of   the words ‘will’, ‘expect’, ‘intend’ and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking information concerning the Company’s dividends, plans for dividends in the future, the timing and amount of such dividends and the expected tax treatment thereof. The forward‐looking statements are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Alvopetro, including but not limited to expectations and assumptions concerning expectations regarding the demand for natural gas and oil, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, the success of future drilling, completion, and testing activities, Alvopetro’s working interest in properties and the outcome of future redeterminations, the outcome of any disputes, equipment availability, the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, recompletion and development activities, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, the impact of global pandemics and other significant worldwide events, foreign exchange rates, general economic and business conditions, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, Alvopetro’s working interest in properties and the outcome of future redeterminations, the outcome of any disputes,  environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors.   In addition, the declaration, timing, amount and payment of future dividends remain at the discretion of the Board of Directors.   Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our annual information form which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca . The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.

SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.

View original content: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/September2024/16/c6955.html

News Provided by Canada Newswire via QuoteMedia

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Brightstar Resources Limited (ASX: BTR) (Brightstar) is pleased to announce further results from the RC infill drilling at the Lord Byron deposit, part of the 293koz Au Jasper Hills Gold Project. The program was completed to infill the existing mineral resource and increase confidence in the geological interpretation, prior to a planned update to the Mineral Resource Estimate (MRE). A concurrent diamond drilling program is almost complete, providing important geotechnical and metallurgical data, as well as crucial structural and geological information to aid the company’s growing understanding of the deposit.

HIGHLIGHTS

The remaining assay results have been received from the ~8,000m Lord Byron infill RC drilling program at the Jasper Hills Gold ProjectThe results returned wide zones of gold mineralisation that contain internal sections of high-grade. Intercepts returned at Lord Byron include:LBRC24049:26m @ 2.69 g/t Au from 120m, including 3m @ 12.4 g/t from 123m, and8m @ 3.48 g/t from 28mLBRC24017:28m @ 2.77 g/t Au from 153m, including 6m @ 6.00 g/t from 172mLBRC24012:29m @ 2.62 g/t Au from 160m, including 1m @ 35.7 g/t from 184mLBRC24013:30m @ 1.97 g/t Au from 143m, including 13m @ 3.18 g/t from 143mLBRC24051:23m @ 2.24 g/t Au from 67m, including 5m @ 7.03g/t from 83mLBRC24011:16m @ 2.01 g/t Au from 140mLBRC24048:1m @ 22.2 g/t Au from 121m, and7m @ 3.32 g/t Au from 132m, and24m @ 1.04 g/t Au from 144mLBRC24047:10m @ 2.31 g/t Au from 109m, and10m @ 1.01 g/t Au from 132mThe program forms part of a Reverse Circulation (RC) and Diamond (DD) drill-out at Jasper Hills, which was designed to increase the resource confidence, improve geological understanding and provide geotechnical and metallurgical data.Assays for an additional 7 completed diamond holes are still pending. The diamond rig is currently on site at Lord Byron completing the final 6 diamond tails, drilled as extensions to RC pre-collar holes.The RC drilling rig is currently finishing the drilling program at the Menzies Gold Project, which is expected to complete in the coming days.

Brightstar’s Managing Director, Alex Rovira, commented“These new Lord Byron assays are particularly exciting. The results have shown the wide intervals of great, open pit mineable gold grades, but also contain discrete zones of high-grade, including in some of the deeper holes, at the base of a A$3,000/oz Au optimised pit shell. These highly encouraging results will feed into updated development studies at the deposit, as outlined in the recent Jasper Hills Scoping Study1.

With successful RC programs now complete at Fish and Lord Byron, the Jasper Hills project is rapidly advancing. Once the RC assays are received from the Fish deposit, attention will turn to geotechnical and metallurgical testwork utilising the diamond core material produced from the drilling program concluding in the coming weeks.

With the current drilling program ending and both rigs soon demobilising, a short drilling break will allow assays to be returned and geological interpretations to be updated, prior to resource updates across the projects. Drilling will then restart, with a large program being planned at the company’s exciting new Sandstone assets set to commence once those transactions complete.

TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

The Lord Byron deposit consists of a ‘Main Zone” of mineralisation associated with the northwest-trending Bicentennial Shear Zone. This 100m-wide zone of shearing hosts the bulk of the mineralisation at the deposit. Additional mineralisation is also present in supergene lodes, and as primary gold in banded iron units (BIF) that have been deflected and truncated by the Bicentennial Shear. The RC drilling program at the Lord Byron totals 54 drill holes for ~8,000m of drilling, with all assays now returned.

An additional diamond program is ongoing, totalling 13 holes for 1,700m (including 7 diamond ‘tails’ drilled as extensions to existing RC drillhole pre-collars). Assays remain outstanding for all diamond holes, with 6 short diamond tails remaining to drill to complete the program.

The purpose of this combined RC and DD program was to infill the resource within optimised open pit shells, provide material for metallurgical and geotechnical assessment, facilitate an upgrade of the MRE to indicated or better classification, and potentially delineate Ore Reserves in conjunction with the Definitive Feasibility Study.

Click here for the full ASX Release

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

A violent conflict between rival tribes in Papua New Guinea’s central highlands has resulted in at least 30 deaths, with authorities struggling to restore order near the country’s Porgera gold mine.

On Sunday (September 15), more than 300 shots were exchanged as peace talks between the groups failed.

The clash was fueled by illegal mining and an ongoing land dispute between the Sakar and Piande clans, with the unrest forcing the nearby gold mine to shut down operations to maintain safety.

According to the BBC, Porgera has been a flashpoint for tensions between local groups. It is a significant source of revenue for the country, once accounting for around 10 percent of its annual export earnings

“The deteriorating situation has been caused by illegal miners and illegal settlers who are victimizing traditional landowners and using violence to terrorize local communities,” the news outlet quotes David Manning, Papua New Guinea’s police commissioner, as saying about the situation.

This isn’t the area’s first instance of violence. In 2022, at least 17 people were killed in a shootout between rival clans.

Porgera belongs to the New Porgera joint venture, which is 51 percent owned by Papua New Guinea stakeholders and 49 percent held by an affiliate of Barrick Gold (TSX:ABX,NYSE:GOLD). The Barrick affiliate is a 50/50 partnership between Barrick and China’s Zijin Mining Group (OTC Pink:ZIJMF,SHA:601899), giving each a 24.5 percent stake in the asset.

The mine is one of Papua New Guinea’s largest mining properties, and despite ongoing tribal violence and a landslide in Mulitaka in July, Barrick and Zijin have reported strong performance since operations resumed in December of last year.

However, the ongoing tribal conflict and lawlessness in the area pose a serious threat to its long-term viability.

Manning said that the use of ‘lethal force’ to quell the violence near the mine has already been authorized as security forces attempt to restore order in the region. The government has imposed a curfew and banned alcohol sales in an effort to stem the violence, and security teams have been deployed along the highway leading to the Porgera mine.

Despite the challenges posed by tribal violence and recent natural disasters, Barrick has maintained its commitment to the region, calling for law and order to protect the mine’s status as a tier one asset.

Currently, New Porgera employs 2,500 people, with the majority hailing from the local Porgera and Enga communities.

In January, the mine poured its first gold following the resumption of operations, and by June the mine had completed a throughput performance test, finishing it four months ahead of schedule.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

International event series Mines and Money is returning to Miami from February 20 to 21, 2025, with “a packed meeting schedule, a forward-thinking conference program, and extensive networking opportunities.”

The two day affair will take place at the James L. Knight Center within the Hyatt Regency Miami, with conference talks and exhibitions simultaneously happening from 7:30 a.m. to 5:15 p.m. EST.

Mines and Money Miami was launched in 2023, while Mines and Money itself has been around for over two decades. The event series takes pride in bringing mining investors and industry professionals together through various meeting programs and activities, along with insightful talks and panels and busy exhibition floors.

Read on for a brief guide on what you should know about Mines and Money Miami.

Connect at Mines and Money Miami 2025

More than 900 industry participants are expected to attend, including over 100 representatives from mining companies. Around 400 investors, mainly from the United Kingdom, the US and Asia, will also be attending the event.

Sample lists of investors and mining companies attending are available on Mines and Money’s website.

In addition to networking opportunities onsite, attendees will be given the experience of meeting investors and fellow industry professionals outside the venue. The conference offers social events at venues such as luxury yachts and riverside terraces with skyline views, at which people can discuss potential collaborations, projects and ideas.

The Mines and Money Miami Connect platform will also return at the upcoming event. This system matches attendees with potential clients who are searching for their solutions and meet their criteria, speeding up the networking process.

The online platform also allows attendees to search potential collaborators by industry, region, product, commodity and much more. Mines and Money says that it led to 988 meetings at the last iteration of the conference.

Mines and Money Miami 2025 conference and exhibitions

Through individual presentations and panel talks, Mines and Money Miami speakers will shed light on the latest market commentary, project updates and insights in mining and investment.

The 2025 conference program boasts 22 speakers from a range of backgrounds, including executives of leading mining companies, investment agencies, consultancies and media and publishing professionals.

The list includes Mike McGlone of Bloomberg Intelligence, Chris Temple of National Investor Publishing, Dr. Sarah J. Ryker of the US Geological Survey, Emily Olson of Vale (NYSE:VALE) and Paul Renken of VSA Capital.

To keep professionals updated on the latest initiatives in mining products, projects and services, Mines and Money Miami 2025 will open its floors to exhibitions from various companies. This will give attendees the chance to ‘speak directly to hundreds of senior mining executives to assess and compare an extensive range of investment opportunities.”

The full list of confirmed exhibitors is available here. Several booths were still available at the time of writing.

Register for Mines and Money Miami 2025 now

Whether you’re a mining professional or an investor, Mines and Money Miami 2025 is a good way to widen your network. Register for a Mines and Money account here to access the full program and available packages.

Mines and Money networking opportunities will also take place at IMARC 2024 in Sydney and Resourcing Tomorrow 2024 in London. More details are available on Mines and Money’s website.

Securities Disclosure: I, Gabrielle de la Cruz, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Mart Wolbert, analyst at Contrarian Codex, shared his latest thoughts on the uranium market, including what’s next for prices and key factors to watch when it comes to supply and demand.

When asked how far the current cycle has progressed, he said that in the context of his ‘stadium’ model, a concept he explained in a previous interview, uranium’s half-time break is almost over.

‘That’s not to say that we won’t have any water breaks in between as the equities pull back and go up. That’s just the nature of the market, it’s the nature of any market. Nothing goes up in a straight line,’ Wolbert said.

‘But I think that it’s very important to look at it in the grand scheme of things. And that is: we have another half to go, and the second half is going to be in my opinion far more exciting than the first as this contracting cycle comes in.’

He also discussed his key takeaways from the World Nuclear Symposium, highlighting how different sentiment is for retail investors versus companies and analysts involved in the uranium sector.

‘It’s absolutely incredible to see the discrepancy between that investor sentiment and just the sentiment of the mood in the room … from the producers, from the people that are very closely associated with all things nuclear, from the analysts that are doing thousands upon thousands of hours of work — they were all enthusiastic,’ Wolbert explained.

He acknowledged the frustrating performance of the uranium equities, but said he remains bullish.

‘The thesis — try as I might at the conference as well, I’ve tried to find a bear case, I’ve tried to really drag the thesis through the mud and try to find things where I could be wrong … but try as I might, I’ve not found a way to join the selloff right now, and I’m getting increasingly, increasingly bullish for what is still to come,’ Wolbert concluded.

Watch the interview above for more of his thoughts on uranium supply, demand and prices.

Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

In recent years, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has been signalling its intent to become a major player in artificial intelligence, but now other Gulf countries are also getting serious about the technology.

“Here in the region, people were much more prepared to experiment and get involved with AI than maybe some other parts of the world,” he added.

One issue around the rapid growth of AI is that it can be hugely energy intensive, and it is increasingly becoming a major source of greenhouse gas emissions. Google reported that its 2023 emissions were nearly 50% more than in 2019, which it partly attributed to the energy demands of AI. Energy demand from AI, data centers and cryptocurrencies could double by 2026, according to the International Energy Agency.

But Anderson believes that Gulf countries, whose economies are heavily dependent on fossil fuels, are well placed to become “major players” in the technology, and have the potential to make it greener.

“We’re at the center of the world when it comes to energy – not just old energy, but particularly new energy,” he said. “This is the lowest-cost place anywhere in the world to produce solar energy. So the opportunity to combine sustainability and energy with the computer power that’s required from an AI perspective is really important.”

Anderson pointed to the UAE, Qatar and Saudi Arabia as the region’s leading investors in AI.

As Saudi Arabia looks to cut its economy’s reliance on oil and gas, it has invested heavily in AI, which it says will help to realize the objectives outlined in its “Vision 2030” strategy, a government program to diversify the economy. According to a recent projection from the Saudi Data and AI Authority (SDAIA), which hosted the GAIN summit, AI will contribute 12% of its GDP by 2030, with the sector growing at an annual rate of 29%.

There have been significant efforts across the region to develop Arabic-language models trained on local datasets that capture the nuances of the language in a way that has been lacking on platforms like ChatGPT. Last year, the UAE unveiled a tool called Jais and Saudi Arabia has developed the Arabic chatbot ALLaM.

Last week, it was announced that ALLaM will be hosted on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. This follows the news from earlier this year that it would also be accessible through IBM’s watsonx platform.

Nick Studer, CEO at management consulting firm Oliver Wyman Group, who attended the GAIN summit, said that the focus on Arabic language models could help Saudi Arabia compete with English-speaking markets that have an “underlying advantage” in the space because of the many large language models available

According to Studer, there are over half a dozen Arabic-based large language models in development in the country, focusing on a range of uses cases, from chat to governmental and corporate applications. “That combination of governmental and private sector entrepreneurialism may well lead to the development of an AI hub, particularly as the kingdom and the wider region seek to diversify their economies,” he said.

Challenge of governance

One of the major hurdles with the development of AI is public perception and governance: how should AI and data be regulated safely, securely, ethically and fairly?

During the summit, various policies were announced, including the launch of guidelines from the SDAIA addressing the responsible use of deep fakes, the unveiling of the Riyadh Charter for AI in the Islamic World, which establishes a framework for developing AI technologies in line with Islamic values and principles, and a global framework for AI readiness, led by the International Telecommunication Union.

Studer says a solid regulatory framework is essential for the future of AI.

“There are many concerns that go with the development of AI – not just privacy concerns, not just the risks of losing jobs, but also all the way up to national sovereignty if your economy starts to rely on a set of tools which are built outside of your control,” he said. “It is critical that we have sensible regulation in place.”

This post appeared first on cnn.com

A mayoral debate in the Brazilian city of São Paulo turned ugly when one of the candidates attacked a rival with a chair.

Video from the debate, broadcast live on Sunday by TV Cultura, shows a tense exchange between José Luiz Datena and Pablo Marçal before Datena swings the chair at his counterpart.

Datena later told TV Cultura that he had attacked Marçal – who required hospital treatment for his injuries – because he had brought up old sexual harassment allegations against Datena that were dismissed several years ago.

“He came with a case that was archived, that was not even investigated by the police because there was no evidence. Something from 11 years ago that caused a very serious situation within my family,” Datena said.

Datena was expelled from the debate but insisted in a statement Monday that while he had made a mistake he did not regret his actions.

Marçal was treated at Sírio Libanês Hospital before being released. His team said he was treated for a possible fracture in the chest region and had difficulty breathing. The hospital said he had suffered trauma to his chest and wrist, but without any major complications.

Marçal compared the chair attack to the July assassination attempt against former US President Donald Trump and the stabbing of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro during the 2018 election, posting an image of all three attacks on Instagram with the caption: “Why all this hate?”

The remaining candidates Guilherme Boulos, Marina Helena, Ricardo Nunes and Tabata Amaral continued the debate following the attack. TV Cultura said it regretted the incident and had pressed ahead with the discussion in accordance with the rules after the other candidates agreed.

Marçal’s team has vowed to take legal action.

“Pablo Marçal was cowardly attacked by José Luiz Datena, who hit him in the ribs with an iron chair,” Marçal’s team said, adding that it was unfortunate the debate had continued without him.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

It is exactly the kind of attention Ukraine did not need. Since the start of clashes with Russia over its future in 2003, Ukraine has carefully avoided the sort of political violence Ryan Wesley Routh is accused of.

Yet now, at arguably the most crucial point of the conflict, Routh’s vocal support for Kyiv has somehow been seized upon by Russian echo chambers after he was detained Sunday in connection with an apparent assassination attempt on former US President Donald Trump.

Someone like Routh was quite easy to meet in Ukraine in the opening months of Russia’s full-scale war in 2022. Border crossings and railway stations were often haunted by whispering, unshaven expatriates of questionable military provenance, trying to conjure the idea that the very real and painful struggle of Ukraine was something they had a pivotal role in. As the conflict has dragged on, the fantasists have faded, and the resumes of dozens of Western volunteers been vetted, or become less relevant as their alleged experience has been tested in combat. The most brutal fighting Europe has seen since the 1940s, the Ukrainian front line has never been less of a place for amateur thrill-seekers.

Yet Routh tried his best to associate himself with the fight against Russia, expressing support for Ukraine in dozens of X posts that year, saying he was willing to die in the fight and that “we need to burn the Kremlin to the ground.”

Kyiv has enough on its plate now, other than explaining how little it had to do with the author of “Ukraine’s Unwinnable War: The Fatal Flaw of Democracy, World Abandonment and the Global Citizen – Taiwan, Afghanistan, North Korea and the end of Humanity.” This – Routh’s title for his self-published book – does not demand its authors ideas are taken too seriously.

But already, Moscow’s prolific echo chambers have begun to fashion a narrative in which US support for Ukraine is somehow extremist. Kremlin spokesman Dmitri Peskov, asked what he thought about the assassination bid, said, according to Reuters: “It is not us who should be thinking, it is the US intelligence services who should be thinking. In any case, playing with fire has its consequences.”

RT.com, a Kremlin-run English news outlet, also highlighted Routh’s interest in Ukraine, writing that “Republican Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene stated that if the suspect’s identity is confirmed, it is clear he is ‘obsessed with the Ukraine war, which is funded by the US.’”

Do not expect any majorly new or intelligent arguments to surface about the war in Ukraine in the weeks ahead. But instead, anticipate a slow drip of some new voices, and some of the usual, suggesting the war in Ukraine cannot be won, that Putin must be given a chance to negotiate a deal (even one that lets him keep the chunk of Ukraine he has stolen), and that there is an unhealthy infection of extremists in the ranks of those who feel they must – as Routh once said – “fight and die” for Ukraine.

None of this helps Ukrainians who genuinely must fight and die to protect their homes and families. It particularly hampers Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, days before he is set to present a victory plan to the Biden administration. The clamor of support for Ukraine to receive US permission to fire longer-range US-supplied missiles at targets deeper inside Russian territory had been growing. It seemed likely last week that President Joe Biden would follow the course he’s taken when past decisions on arming Ukraine were presented to him, and consent – albeit very, very late – after public pressure from allies.

But now Zelensky’s press appearances may be dogged by questions about Routh, however absurdly distant from Kyiv’s agenda his apparent attack on a Florida golf course was. It will feed into the ultimate paranoia of US isolationists: that actions overseas which appear to benefit America’s global interests carry with them the risk of fomenting violence back home.

Routh’s political leanings and worldview were far from consistent, if not delusional. But in the breathy forum of random gibberish that is social media, they contribute to a narrative, for those who seek it, of support for Ukraine causing chaos in America. That the United States should just stay out of Putin’s war.

None of it connects with the savage reality Ukrainians face every night, shaken awake by Russian missiles, or losing loved ones to the ghastly attrition of the front lines.

Washington’s support for Kyiv is weighty and consequential when it lumbers into play, yet horrifyingly fragile when subjected to US electoral politics and the Republican party’s fickle grip on geopolitics. The sudden insertion of a wayward extremist like Routh is a loud, confusing wild card, at a time when support for Ukraine urgently needed a calm and balanced voice.

This post appeared first on cnn.com