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September 13, 2024

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Typhoon Yagi, Asia’s most powerful storm this year, has left dozens dead since sweeping across southern China and Southeast Asia last week, leaving a trail of destruction with its intense rainfall and powerful winds.

After hitting the Philippines, where it killed more than a dozen people, it churned westwards towards southern China and shortly after parts of Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar and Laos.

Nearly a week since it made landfall, many farms and villages in northern parts of Vietnam and neighboring Thailand remain under water as communities struggle to cope with severe flooding and the looming threat of landslides.

In Vietnam, the death toll has risen to at least 226 as a result of the storm and the landslides and flash floods it triggered, the government’s disaster agency said Thursday, according to Reuters. The storm caused widespread damage to infrastructure and factories.

Video captured by a car’s dashcam earlier this week showed the moment a steel bridge collapsed over the engorged Red River in Vietnam’s Phu Tho province, plunging drivers into the raging waters.

The downpours also inundated Thailand’s northern province of Chiang Rai, submerging homes and riverside villages, making rescue efforts difficult.

At least 33 people have died across Thailand since mid-August due to rain-related incidents, with at least nine deaths this week after Yagi, Reuters reported citing the local government.

Storms are being made more intense and deadlier by the warming ocean, scientists have long warned. While developed nations bear a greater historical responsibility for the human-induced climate crisis, developing nations and small-island states are suffering the worst impacts.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

For decades, Chinese workers have wrapped up their working lives at relatively young ages: 60 for men and as early as 50 for women.

But all that is about to change as the Chinese government passed new legislation on Friday laying out a plan to delay the retirement age over the course of 15 years, starting January 1, according to state news agency Xinhua.

Existing rules stated that men in urban areas could retire at 60 and receive their pensions, and women at 50 or 55, depending on their occupation. The new rules gradually push back the age to 63 for men, and to 55 and 58, respectively, for women.

The measures, which were approved by the country’s top lawmaking body following signaling from a key Communist Party body in July, also lay out plans to extend the minimum working period for employees to receive a monthly pension from 15 to 20 years, with changes starting from 2030.

They also include some flexibility in retirement age, especially for those who have already completed the minimum working period.

The change, which the government has been considering for about a decade, comes as China’s economy slows while Beijing grapples with the looming consequences of a rapidly aging population and a pension funding crisis.

The announcement sparked immediate widespread discussion – and backlash – across Chinese social media.

Some social media users appeared encouraged that the changes weren’t more drastic and included some flexibility. One comment on the X-like social media platform Weibo that garnered thousands of likes said: “As long as there are options to retire or not based on our will, I have no objections.”

Others voiced discontent over the prospect of delayed access to their pension and years of extra work, as well as concern about whether the policy would strain China’s already tough job market, where unemployment levels among young people remain stubbornly high.

“Delayed retirements just means you can’t get your pension until you hit 63, but it doesn’t mean everyone will have a job until then!” wrote one user.

Chinese state media in recent days has hailed the anticipated changes as an urgent and necessary reform for an outmoded system, highlighting how the existing policy had been in place since the 1950s when life expectancies and education levels were both lower.

“The current retirement policy framework has remained unchanged for 73 years. Especially since the reform and opening up (starting around 1978), the demographic, economic and social landscape has transformed dramatically,” demographer Yuan Xin was quoted by state media as saying earlier this week.

The existing retirement age is seriously mismatched with the current “national realities” and the new normal of future economic and social development, said Yuan, who is deputy head of the China Population Association and a demographer at Nankai University in Tianjin.

China’s existing retirement ages are lower than those in a number of major economies. The 2022 average standard retirement ages across Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries stood at 63.6 years old for women and 64.4 years old for men.

Other countries have also grappled with how to manage the retirement age. Major protests erupted in France in 2023 in response to a government attempt to raise the retirement age from 62 to 64. The US has also been debating retirement reform and gradually increasing the retirement age, with Social Security incentives in place for retirees who delay taking benefits until age 70.

Demographic and economic challenges

The changes come as China’s leadership has become increasingly concerned by the country’s demographic challenges, which some economists warn could see the still-developing country fall into the trap of “getting old before it gets rich.”

China’s population has shrunk for the past two years, and it 2023 it recorded its lowest birth rate since the founding of Communist China in 1949, despite a reversal of the country’s long-standing “one-child policy” from 2016 and government-led efforts to incentivize more young couples to have children.

China’s elderly now account for more than 20% of the population, according to a report earlier this month from the Ministry of Civil Affairs, which said about 297 million were aged 60 and above by the end of last year.

Demographers cited in state media have said that, between 2030 and 2035, the elderly population will make up 30% of the total population. That is likely to increase to more than 40% of the population by the middle of this century – making China a “super-aged society.”

Those projections have seen the government ramping up efforts to expand elderly care services and boost private-sector efforts to build a “silver economy.”

It’s also put heightened focus on the ability of the country’s pension system to handle a shrinking workforce alongside its burgeoning elderly population.

A 2019 report from the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a top government think tank, forecast that China’s state pension fund would run dry by 2035 because of its dwindling workforce. Years of strict pandemic-related restrictions, which have shrunk the coffers of local governments, could make the pension shortfall even more pronounced.

Early last year, thousands of elderly people protested in several major cities against big cuts to their medical benefits payments, fearing that local governments were dipping into their individual accounts to cover the shortages in the state pension fund.

Even for those of working age, employment remains a steep challenge following the pandemic and a raft of government-led industry crackdowns in recent years. In July, the youth unemployment rate hit 17.1% among those aged between 16 and 24 who are not students, and was 6.5% for those 25 to 29 that month, according to state media.

Employers continue to pull back on hiring as the economy slows and people, especially in tech sectors, have widely noted age discrimination in hiring for those over 35.

The new regulations also call on the state to “support young people’s employment and entrepreneurship, strengthen the development of employment positions for older workers … and strengthen the prevention and governance of employment age discrimination.”

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Bitcoin and Ethereum: Positive Week for Bitcoin Price

  • This week, Bitcoin’s price is facing resistance in the $58500 zone
  • Ethereum’s price continued to show a slight recovery despite resistance at the EMA 200 moving average

Bitcoin chart analysis

This week, Bitcoin’s price is facing resistance in the $58500 zone. Weak momentum to move above triggers a bearish consolidation below the $58,000 level. A new daily low was created at $57750, and for now, we are successfully maintaining above that level. Additional support could be found in the EMA50 moving average, which is below today’s low. If the current bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin should move below the moving average to the bearish side.

Potential lower targets are the $57500 and $57000 levels. For a bullish option, the price of Bitcoin would have to return above the daily open price to the positive side. This moves us above $58,200, and we are getting closer to testing the weekly resistance zone. This time, we need a break above and a jump to a new weekly high. Potential higher targets are the $59,000 and $59,500 levels.

 

Ethereum chart analysis

Ethereum’s price continued to show a slight recovery despite resistance at the EMA 200 moving average. On Thursday, we saw a higher low formation compared to the day before, which is positive for the price. From there, Ethereum started a new bullish consolidation up to the $2372 level. There, we were again under pressure from the EMA 200, which pulled us back down to the bearish side. The price is currently at $2340 at the daily low.

Now, it is important to hold above yesterday’s low to stay on the bullish side. If a break occurs below, we will form a new low, thereby confirming the bearish momentum’s strengthening. Potential lower targets are the $2275 and $2250 levels. By retreating to these levels, we will drop below the weekly open price and thereby only confirm a deeper retreat of Ethereum.

 

The post Bitcoin and Ethereum: Positive Week for Bitcoin Price appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

Oil and Natural Gas: Oil remains under pressure below $70.00

  • The oil price rose to $69.77 on Thursday, a new weekly high
  • This week’s strong bullish consolidation pushed the price of natural gas to the $2.55 level on Thursday

Oil chart analysis

The oil price rose to $69.77 on Thursday, a new weekly high. Shortly after its formation, the price lost its previous momentum and stopped further growth. During this morning’s Asian session, the movement took place in the $69.15-$69.50 range. We are in the EMA 200 moving average zone, which could be a problem for us to continue to the bullish side. It is successful that we stay above the daily open price, giving us hope that oil could still be above the EMA 200 and the $69.50 level.

Potential higher targets are the $70.00 and $70.50 levels. For a bearish option, we need a pullback below the daily open price of $69.14. With that step, we descend to a new daily low and strengthen the bearish momentum. After that, oil should begin to retreat further. Potential lower targets are $68.50 and $68.00. A big test for the price is the weekly open level in the $68.00 zone.

 

Natural gas chart analysis

This week’s strong bullish consolidation pushed the price of natural gas to the $2.55 level on Thursday. After forming a new high, the price retreated slightly to the $2.52 support level. During this morning’s Asian trading session, we saw the re-formation of a bullish consolidation and price recovery to $2.55. We expect to see a further advance to the bullish side and form a new weekly high.

Potential higher targets are the $2.56 and $2.58 levels. For a bearish option, we need a drop below the daily open price. With the formation of a new daily low, we can expect greater pressure on the price of natural gas to seek new lower support. Potential lower targets are the $2.52 and $2.50 levels. The first major support is in the $2.48 zone in the EMA 50 moving average.

 

The post Oil and Natural Gas: Oil remains under pressure below $70.00 appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

Gold and Silver: Gold is shining at a new all-time high

  • The price of gold climbed to a new all-time high this morning at the $2571 level
  • During this morning’s Asian session, the price of silver continued yesterday’s bullish consolidation

Gold chart analysis

The price of gold climbed to a new all-time high this morning at the $2571 level. Yesterday, we had a strong bullish consolidation, which started at $2510. With only a couple of impulses, we quickly jumped past the previous high at $2531 and continued to conquer higher levels. During this morning’s Asian trading session, gold managed to hold high above the $2560 level. Everything indicates that we expect a continuation to the bullish side and a move to a new high.

Potential higher targets are the $2575 and $2580 levels. If the price starts to lose its current momentum, it will have to initiate a pullback. With the drop below the daily open level of $2558, gold moves to the bearish side and thus confirms the strengthening of the bearish momentum. Potential lower targets are the $2555 and $2550 levels.

 

Silver chart analysis

During this morning’s Asian session, the price of silver continued yesterday’s bullish consolidation. We managed to get back above the $30.00 level again and form the September high at $30.15. The price is under a strong bullish surge, and we expect a continuation of the bullish side and the formation of a new high. We are very close to reaching the August high of $30.18.

Potential higher targets are $30.20 and $30.40 levels. We need a new negative consolidation and a drop below the daily open price of $29.86 for a bearish option. Below that, silver will form a daily low and lose its previous bullish momentum. After that, it remains to watch the price pull back and test the lower levels. Potential lower targets are $29.60 and $29.40 levels.

 

The post Gold and Silver: Gold is shining at a new all-time high appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

EURUSD and GBPUSD: EURUSD is moving to a new weekly high

  • For the second day in a row, EURUSD has been in stable bullish consolidation
  • On Wednesday, GBPUSD retreated to a new weekly low at 1.30000

EURUSD chart analysis

For the second day in a row, EURUSD has been in stable bullish consolidation. During this morning’s Asian trading session, we saw a recovery above the weekly open price and the 1.11000 level. After we crossed the EMA 200 moving average yesterday, the pair continued to grow and reached today’s high. Now, it is important to stabilize above the weekly open price in order to continue on the bullish side.

Potential higher targets are 1.11200 and 1.11400 levels. For a bearish option, we expect the EURUSD to pull back below the weekly open price to the downside. This step increases the bearish pressure that could push the pair to a new daily low. A return below 1.10700 would take us significantly away from the previous bullish path. Potential lower targets are 1.10400 and 1.10200 levels.

 

GBPUSD chart analyisis

On Wednesday, GBPUSD retreated to a new weekly low at 1.30000. We can say that Pair did a retest on a very important psychological level. After that, we first saw consolidation in the 1.30400-1.30600 range yesterday. We were able to rally from there and climb above the EMA 50 moving average. The new support added to the bullish momentum, resulting in a jump to 1.31523 at a new weekly high.

Today, we have a problem continuing above that level, and the bearish momentum is intensifying, pulling the GBPUSD back to the daily open price of 1.31250. Pressure is now in that zone and a break below to a new daily low could occur. Potential lower targets are 1.31100 and 1.30800 levels. In the 1.31000 zone, we expect a longer hold and possible support for staying on the bullish side. Potential higher targets are 1.31600 and 1.31800 levels.

 

The post EURUSD and GBPUSD: EURUSD is moving to a new weekly high appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq close to erasing last week’s losses

  • This week is quite bullish after watching the S&P 500 pull back last week
  • This morning, a strong bullish consolidation is pushing the Nasdaq to a weekly high of 19467.1

S&P 500 chart analysis

This week is quite bullish after watching the S&P 500 pull back last week. On Wednesday, we had a short-term pullback to the 5400.0 level. Soon after, we got support down there and initiated a recovery above the EMA 200 and 5500.0. We did not stop there but continued on the bullish side. During this morning’s Asian trading session, the index held above 5590.0. The S&P 500 continued to rise to 5610.0, forming a new weekly high there.

All indicators suggest that the index could continue its bullish growth. Potential higher targets are 5625.0 and 5650.0 levels. The index could drop below the daily open price of 5590.0 if momentum weakens. With that step, it moves to the negative side, where it will be under greater bearish pressure. Potential lower targets are 5575.0 and 5550.0 levels. The EMA 200 moving average is waiting for us in the 5550.0 zone.

 

Nasdaq chart analysis

This morning, a strong bullish consolidation is pushing the Nasdaq to a weekly high of 19467.1. From Monday to today, the index rose over 6.0%. On Wednesday, it received support from the EMA 50 and EMA 200 moving averages, which only reinforced the bullish scenario. During the Asian trading session, the Nasdaq moved in the 19400.0-19460.0 range. There were no changes in the EU session either, and only in the US session do we expect greater index volatility.

We need momentum above this level to climb to a new weekly high. Potential higher targets are 19500.0 and 19600.0 levels. If, by any chance, we see a drop below the daily open price, it would signal the beginning of a bearish consolidation. After that, the bearish momentum grows, and the Nasdaq index retreats further. Potential lower targets are 19300.0 and 19200.0 levels.

 

The post S&P 500 and Nasdaq close to erasing last week’s losses appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.