Archive

March 20, 2025

Browsing

Tuesday’s stock market action marked a reversal in investor sentiment, with the broader indexes closing lower. The S&P 500 ($SPX), Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ), and Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU) are still below their 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Investor anxiety is elevated ahead of the Fed’s culmination of its two-day policy meeting. The risk-off sentiment is back, with gold and silver prices rallying. But it may not all be due to the risk-off mode, as lower US Treasury yields and the lower US dollar may have also played a role in the precious metal rally. The SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) hit a new all-time high and silver prices are on the rise.

Technology and consumer discretionary were Tuesday’s worst-performing sectors, while Energy and Health Care took the lead but rose modestly. Overall, it was a pretty red day for U.S. equities (see the StockCharts MarketCarpet below).

FIGURE 1. A SEA OF RED. Tuesday’s StockCharts MarketCarpet was a sea of red with specks of green in the Energy and Health Care, Real Estate, Materials, and Industrials sectors.Image source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The Mag 7 Unwind

The mega-cap, Mag 7 stocks stand out strongly in Tuesday’s MarketCarpet. The daily chart of the Roundhill Big Tech ETF (MAGS) below shows how these stocks are in a steep fall. The ETF fell below its 50-day SMA and struggled to retain its position above it. The fall from the 50-day to the 200-day SMA was like an elevator ride down. MAGS managed to find a little resistance at its 200-day SMA, but that was short-lived. 

FIGURE 2. ROUNDHILL BIG TECH ETF (MAGS) SLIDES BELOW 200-DAY MOVING AVERAGE. After sliding below its 50-day SMA, MAGS fell hard and continued sliding as it broke below the 200-day SMA.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The rise in volume after MAGS fell below its 200-day SMA suggests there’s a lot more selling than buying. The relative strength index (RSI) is hovering above 30, which implies it isn’t oversold yet. So there’s a chance MAGS could fall lower, although it could reverse before dipping into oversold territory.

International Markets

Meanwhile, the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI), iShares MSCI Germany (EWG), iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI), and other European stock ETFs are rising. The daily chart of the iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA), which has its top 10 holdings in European companies, is hitting all-time highs (see below).

FIGURE 3. DAILY CHART OF ISHARES MSCI EAFE ETF. European stocks have been rising since early 2025. The 50-day SMA has crossed above the 200-day and price is well above the 50-day SMA.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

With elevated tariff uncertainty, a slowdown in the U.S. economy, and declining U.S. consumer confidence, it shouldn’t be surprising to see investors diversifying their holdings across different asset groups. This reiterates the importance of having a diversified portfolio spread across different sectors, precious metals, international stocks, and bonds. 

The Closing Bell

Tuesday’s reversal after a two-day winning streak suggests investor uncertainty remains prominent. The Federal Reserve policy meeting ends on Wednesday. Chairman Powell’s press conference is the main event to listen to on Wednesday, but really, any headline could rock the markets in either direction. The best you can do is stay diversified.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe breaks down a new SPX correction signal using the monthly Directional Lines (DI), showing why this pullback could take time to play out. He explains how DI lines influence the ADX slope and how this impacts shorter-term patterns. Joe also reveals a strong area in the commodity market defying the correction and highlights top stocks within that sector. Plus, he analyzes QQQ and IWM, covering their recent weakness and key resistance levels, before analyzing viewer symbol requests for the week, including ADMA, CSCO, and more.

This video was originally published on March 19, 2025. Click this link to watch on Joe’s dedicated page.

Archived videos from Joe are available at this link. Send symbol requests to stocktalk@stockcharts.com; you can also submit a request in the comments section below the video on YouTube. Symbol Requests can be sent in throughout the week prior to the next show.

Calibre Mining’s (TSX:CXB,OTCQX:CXBMF)largest shareholder has come out against Equinox Gold’s (TSX:EQX,NYSEAMERICAN:EQX) US$1.8 billion takeover bid, casting doubt over the year’s biggest gold deal.

According to Bloomberg, Van Eck Associates, which holds an 8.69 percent stake in Calibre, has voiced its opposition, citing a lack of operational synergies and concerns over the dilution of Calibre’s quality.

Van Eck was also the second largest investor in Equinox as of December 31, 2024.

The proposed all-stock transaction, announced in February, aims to create a mid-tier gold producer with annual output of approximately 1.2 million ounces. However, the deal still requires shareholder and regulatory approval. Both companies have scheduled shareholder votes, with two-thirds majorities required for approval.

“We are not supportive of this transaction. We don’t see any synergies between any of the companies’ operations,” Imaru Casanova, portfolio manager at Van Eck’s International Investors Gold Fund, said in an email to Bloomberg on Tuesday (March 18). “Both operate in the Americas, but in vastly different locations.”

Casanova also emphasized that Calibre was poised for a revaluation as it advanced its flagship Valentine project in Newfoundland, Canada. Valentine is set to become Atlantic Canada’s largest gold mine.

Equinox operates mines across Canada, Mexico, Brazil and the US, while Calibre’s assets are concentrated in Nicaragua and the US. The deal would make the combined company one of the top 15 global gold producers.

Equinox declined to comment on Van Eck’s opposition, while Calibre did not immediately respond to inquiries.

The Equinox-Calibre deal is part of a broader trend of consolidation in the gold sector, driven by gold’s surging price and strong company balance sheets. However, investors remain cautious, given the industry’s history of high-priced mergers that fail to generate expected returns. Many mining mergers since 2010 have struggled to deliver, with industry reports highlighting skepticism due to overvalued acquisitions and underperforming transactions.

As mentioned, the purchase still requires approval from shareholders and regulatory bodies.

With Van Eck’s significant opposition, other institutional investors may reconsider their stance before the vote.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

The US Federal Reserve held its second meeting of the year from Tuesday (March 18) to Wednesday (March 19) amid broad economic chaos caused by the Trump administration’s tariff threats.

As was widely expected, the central bank left interest rates at 4.25 to 4.5 percent, a range it set at its November meeting; it also said it will slow the pace at which it is shrinking its balance sheet.

In his post-meeting remarks, Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed remains focused on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability. He noted that labor market conditions are “solid” and said inflation has moved closer to the Fed’s 2 percent target, although he did acknowledge that it remains “somewhat elevated.”

The US consumer price index (CPI) was up 3 percent year-on-year in January, up slightly from 2.9 percent in December. CPI fell marginally in February to come in at 2.8 percent. The US personal consumption expenditures price index has also remained relatively flat, with a 2.5 percent year-on-year rise in January versus December’s 2.6 percent.

The sticky inflation numbers come against a backdrop of global uncertainty as US President Donald Trump implements and threatens tariff action. Tariffs could drive consumer prices higher on critical goods for US consumers, including new gasoline, homes and cars, as the US relies on oil, lumber and steel imports from Canada.

Powell noted that uncertainty is running high with Trump now in office, saying that his administration is making policy changes in four key areas: trade, immigration, fiscal policy and regulation.

“It is the net effect of these policy changes that will matter for the economy and the path of monetary policy. While there have been recent developments in some of these areas, especially trade, uncertainty around changes and their economic outlook is high,” Powell said, adding that the Fed is focusing on ‘separating the signal from the noise.’

The Fed will adjust its policy based on incoming data, and is well positioned to wait for greater clarity.

When asked by a reporter why the Fed is still predicting two rate cuts this year despite waning consumer sentiment, Powell emphasized that the data shows the economy has remained strong.

“I would tell people that the economy seems to be healthy; we understand that sentiment seems to be quite negative at this time, and that probably has to do with turmoil at the beginning of an administration,” he said.

Following the Fed’s announcement, the gold price spiked to a new record high in the US$3,045 per ounce range. The silver price declined for most of the morning, but moved up after the Fed decision, staying above US$33.50 per ounce.

The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:INX) climbed 1.04 percent to 5,675, while the Nasdaq-100 (INDEXNASDAQ:NDX) rose 1.25 percent to 19,707 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) moved up 0.83 percent to 41,920.

Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Here’s a quick recap of the crypto landscape for Wednesday (March 19) as of 9:00 p.m. UTC.

Bitcoin and Ethereum price update

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at US$85,406.50, a 3.9 percent increase over the past 24 hours. The day’s trading range has seen a low of US$83,774.65 and a high of US$85,888.99.

Bitcoin performance, March 19, 2025.

Chart via TradingView.

Ethereum (ETH) is priced at US$2,032.78, marking a 6.7 percent increase over the same period. The cryptocurrency reached an intraday low of US$2,007.43 and a high of US$2,055.77.

Altcoin price update

  • Solana (SOL) is currently valued at US$132.97, up 7.1 percent over the past 24 hours. SOL experienced a low of US$128.10 and a high of US$133.60 on Wednesday.
  • XRP is trading at US$2.49, reflecting a 10.2 percent increase over the past 24 hours. The cryptocurrency recorded an intraday low of US$2.48 and a high of US$2.57.
  • Sui (SUI) is priced at US$2.43, showing a 6.9 percent increase over the past 24 hours. It achieved a daily low of US$2.36 and a low of US$2.47.
  • Cardano (ADA) is trading at US$0.7324, reflecting a 5.3 percent increase over the past 24 hours. Its lowest price on Wednesday was US$0.7225, with a high of US$0.7436.

Crypto news to know

US lawmakers aim for August deadline on crypto regulations

Speaking at Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit in New York on Wednesday, Blockchain Association CEO Kristin Smith said US lawmakers are on track to establish rules for stablecoins and cryptocurrency market structure by August.

“I think we’re close to being able to get those done for August … they’re doing a lot of work on that behind the scenes right now,” Smith said at the event, which was attended by Cointelegraph.

Speaking at the summit on Tuesday (March 18), Bo Hines, executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, said legislation is “imminent” following the Senate Banking Committee’s approval of the GENIUS Act last week. “I think that stables could be on the president’s desk here in the next two months,” Hines said.

Institutional crypto investment on the rise

A recent report from Coinbase and EY-Parthenon reveals that institutional investors are increasing their engagement with cryptocurrencies in 2025. The survey, conducted in January with responses from 352 institutional investor firms, shows that 83 percent plan to increase their crypto allocations this year.

Furthermore, 59 percent intend to allocate over 5 percent of their assets under management to crypto, and 73 percent already hold assets beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, with SOL and XRP being the most popular. Additionally, 68 percent of respondents indicated a likelihood to purchase single-asset exchange-traded products for SOL and XRP.

Coinbase highlights the survey’s results in a press release, stating that ‘all signs indicate positive momentum’ for institutional crypto engagement in 2025, with increasing allocations, expanding use cases and adoption of new products.

Bernstein issues bullish rating for Coinbase

Bernstein’s Gautam Chhugani gave a bullish ‘outperform’ rating and a US$310 price target for cryptocurrency exchange platform Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN), betting on the Trump’s administration’s plans for a US digital asset framework to boost the crypto industry. Chhugani also foresees growth in the US market offsetting competition, and highlighted the strong momentum in Coinbase’s subscription and services business.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Canada said on Wednesday that China had executed four Canadian citizens on drugs smuggling charges earlier this year, and strongly condemned Beijing’s use of the death penalty.

Foreign Minister Melanie Joly told reporters that all four had been dual citizens and said Ottawa would ask for leniency for other Canadians facing the same fate.

“There are four Canadians that have been executed and therefore we are strongly condemning what happened,” she said, adding that all four had been convicted on drugs charges.

Separately, the Canadian Foreign Ministry said that Robert Schellenberg, a Canadian man sentenced to death in 2019 for drug smuggling, had not been executed.

Canada-China ties have been icy since 2018 when Meng Wanzhou, chief financial officer of Chinese telecoms firm Huawei, was detained in Vancouver at the Trump administration’s request. China arrested two Canadians shortly afterwards.

Meng and the Canadian duo were released in 2021.

Earlier this month Beijing announced tariffs on over $2.6 billion worth of Canadian agricultural and food products, retaliating against levies Ottawa slapped on Chinese electric vehicles and steel and aluminum products last year.

In a statement, the Chinese embassy in Ottawa said Canada was making irresponsible remarks.

“China always imposed severe penalties on drug-related crimes and maintains a ‘zero tolerance’ attitude towards the drug problem,” it said, without confirming that any executions had taken place.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Indonesia’s parliament on Thursday passed contentious revisions to the country’s military law, which will allocate more civilian posts for military officers, and street protests against the changes are expected to take place.

The revisions have been criticized by civil society groups, who say it could take the world’s third-biggest democracy back to the draconian “New Order” era of former strongman president Suharto, when military officers dominated civilian affairs.

Speaker Puan Maharani led the unanimous vote in a plenary council and officially passed the law, saying that it was in accordance with the principle of democracy and human rights.

President Prabowo Subianto, who took office last October and was a special forces commander under Suharto, has been expanding the armed forces’ role into what were considered civilian areas, including his flagship program of free meals for children.

Rights groups have criticized the increased military involvement because they fear it may lead to abuses of power, human rights violations, and impunity from consequences for actions.

The government has said the bill requires officers to resign from the military before assuming civilian posts at departments such as the Attorney’s General Office and a lawmaker has said officers could not join state-owned companies, to counter concerns the military would be involved in business.

Protesters from several democracy groups and students have said they will stage rallies in front of the parliamentary building in Jakarta.

Some students had camped at the back gate of parliamentary building since Wednesday evening, protesting the law and demanding the government pull out all military personnel from civilian jobs.

Police officers forced them to leave the building but they refused, one protestor who declined to be named told Reuters. There were just a few dozen protesters at the time the bill was passed by parliament.

Military personnel were called in for security in the parliamentary building to assist police.

“The geopolitical changes and global military technology require the military to transform … to face conventional and non conventional conflicts,” Defense Minister Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin told parliament, while defending the revised law.

“We will never disappoint the Indonesians in keeping our sovereignty,” he added, but did not specify what geopolitical challenges he was referring to.

This post appeared first on cnn.com

Venezuela’s leader has described the deportation of more than 200 mostly Venezuelan migrants sent by the United States to a notorious mega-prison in El Salvador as a “kidnapping,” and denied they are criminals while backing calls for their return.

“Nayib Bukele should not be an accomplice to this kidnapping, because our boys did not commit any crime in the United States, none,” Nicolas Maduro told supporters Wednesday, referencing El Salvador’s leader, who has struck a deal with US President Donald Trump.

“They were not brought to trial, they were not given the right to a defense, the right to due process, they were deceived, handcuffed, put on a plane, kidnapped, and sent to a concentration camp in El Salvador,” Maduro added.

The Venezuelan leader, who has ruled with an iron fist since 2013, said his government will deliver El Salvador an “official document” to request the return of the Venezuelan deportees, which will have the support of “millions” of signatures of Venezuelan citizens.

Over the weekend, Trump invoked an 18th-century wartime law to deport 238 Venezuelans it claims are part of the Tren de Aragua gang despite a court ruling halting the move, deepening tensions between the US and Venezuela. He defended the move arguing the US faced an “invasion” of migrants and described those deported as “a bad group of, as I say, hombres.”

The Venezuelans, along with 23 Salvadorans also deported, were sent to the Counter-Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT) in Tecoluca, El Salvador, as part of an agreement between the US and El Salvador. The prison is notorious for the ruthless way it treats prisoners, which human rights organizations say is inhumane and violates human rights.

Venezuelans took to the streets of the capital Caracas Tuesday to rally against the deportations. Some claimed they identified their loved ones among the deported group in videos and photos shown on the news. Some relatives of men sent to El Salvador said their loved ones were not criminals and demanded they be returned home.

Maduro backed those calls.

“I celebrate that millions of men and women from Venezuela have come out to support the families of these young Venezuelans with their signatures, to officially demand that the Government of El Salvador free them from this kidnapping, not subject them to humiliation, and return them to us sooner rather than later,” he said.

The White House has not presented evidence that the deported Venezuelans belong to Tren de Aragua, a group linked to human trafficking, money laundering, drug smuggling and other crimes. In January, Trump designated Tren de Aragus and the Salvadoran MS-13 gang as foreign terrorist organizations.

The Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency said this week it conducted a thorough review of the profiles of the individuals in question to verify that they are part of criminal groups. The names of the deported individuals have not been released.

Some Venezuelans previously deported by the Trump administration have insisted they have nothing to do with the gang, such as Daniel Simancas Rodríguez, who spent 15 days in detention at Guantanamo Bay before being deported to Venezuela.

Maduro said Wednesday he ordered his government to increase the number of flights repatriating Venezuelan migrants detained in the US.

“We are going to return all migrants who have been detained to give them respect, dignity, support, and to return to their homeland and their families,” he said.

This post appeared first on cnn.com