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December 2024

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On Friday our short-term Swenlin Trading Oscillators (STOs) turned down even after a rally. This is an attention flag that we shouldn’t ignore, but what do the intermediate-term indicators tell us? Are they confirming these short-term tops?

Carl goes through the DP Signal tables to start the program and follows this up with a complete market review that includes a discussion on recently topping STOs.

After going through the market in general including Bitcoin, Gold, Yields, Bonds and Crude Oil among others, Carl then analyzes the Magnificent Seven in the short and intermediate terms.

Erin starts here Sector Rotation discussion with the decline in the Energy sector which could be picking up steam. She discusses the current setup on defensive sectors versus aggressive sectors like Technology.

When she finished sector rotation, she talked about the cooling of the rallies in small- and mid-caps.

Symbol requests round out the discussion. Erin covers not only the daily charts of requested symbols, she also covers the weekly charts to give us a more intermediate-term perspective.

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01:33 DP Signal Tables

04:53 Market Overview and Discussion of STOs

13:12 Magnificent Seven

19:40 Sector Rotation

25:45 Analysis of Small- and Mid-Caps

33:42 Symbol Requests


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Technical Analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball. –Carl Swenlin


(c) Copyright 2024 DecisionPoint.com


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author, and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

DecisionPoint is not a registered investment advisor. Investment and trading decisions are solely your responsibility. DecisionPoint newsletters, blogs or website materials should NOT be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security or to take any specific action.


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As demand for advanced computing and artificial intelligence continues to surge, NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) stands at the forefront of this revolution, with recent NVDA stock price action suggesting it may offer a compelling bullish opportunity. In this post, we’ll explore the technical and fundamental factors contributing to the bullish outlook in NVDA and how to structure an options strategy—all identified using the OptionsPlay Strategy Center within StockCharts.com.

If you look at the NVDA stock price chart below, there are several bullish indicators:

  • Retesting Support at $130. After breaking out above the significant resistance area of $130 in October, NVDA has retested this level as support twice.
  • Strong Risk/Reward Setup. The successful retests present a favorable risk/reward for bullish exposure.

FIGURE 1. DAILY CHART OF NVDA STOCK PRICE. Since October, NVDA has retested the $130 support level.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

NVDA’s valuation further strengthens the bullish thesis:

  • Attractive Valuation. Despite trading at 33x forward earnings, which is a 60% premium relative to the industry, the valuation is justified by NVDA’s outstanding growth metrics and market leadership.
  • Exceptional EPS Growth. NVDA’s expected earnings per share (EPS) growth is nearly five times higher than its peers.
  • Robust Revenue Growth. NVDA’s expected revenue growth is about 8 times higher than the industry median, indicating superior performance in expanding its market share and business operations.
  • Leading Net Margins. With net margins of 55%, NVIDIA leads the industry, showcasing its ability to convert revenue into profit effectively.
  • Dominant Position in AI and Accelerated Computing. NVIDIA’s Q3 FY2025 results underscore its leadership in artificial intelligence and accelerated computing sectors, with record revenues and significant growth in data center operations.

FIGURE 2. NVIDIA FUNDAMENTALS. From a valuation perspective, NVDA’s stock price has the potential to rise further.Image source: OptionsPlay.

Put Vertical Spread in NVDA

Despite a low IV Rank, NVDA options skew provides an opportunity to sell a put vertical spread and still collect over 37% of the width. This provides a neutral to bullish outlook with limited risk and a higher probability of profit.

Selling the Jan 2025 $138/$127 Put Vertical @ $4.10 Credit:

  • Sell: January 17, 2025, $138 Put Option at $7.45
  • Buy: January 17, 2025, $127 Put Option at $3.35
  • Net Credit $410 per contract

FIGURE 3. RISK CURVE FOR SELLING NVDA PUT VERTICAL SPREAD. This strategy provides a neutral to bullish outlook and has a higher probability of profit (POP).Image source: OptionsPlay Strategy Center at StockCharts.com.

A breakdown of selling the put vertical is as follows:

  • Potential Reward: Limited to the net credit received or $415.
  • Potential Risk: Limited to $685 (the difference between the strike prices multiplied by 100, minus the net credit).
  • Breakeven Point: $133.85 (strike price of the sold put minus the net credit per share).
  • Probability of Profit: Approximately 56.12% if NVDA closes above $133.85 by January 17, 2025.

The bull put spread benefits from time decay and allows for profit if the stock remains above the breakeven point at expiration. It provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio aligned with the bullish outlook on NVDA’s stock price.

How To Unlock Real-Time Trade Ideas

This bullish opportunity in NVIDIA was identified using the OptionsPlay Strategy Center within StockCharts.com. The platform’s Bullish Trend Following scan automatically sifted through the market to highlight NVDA as a strong candidate, and it structured the options strategy efficiently.

FIGURE 4. BULLISH TREND FOLLOWING SCAN FILTERED NVDA AS A STRONG CANDIDATE. Here, you see a synopsis of the bull put spread trade for NVDA.Image source: OptionsPlay Strategy Center at StockCharts.com.

By subscribing to the OptionsPlay Strategy Center, you can:

  • Discover Opportunities Instantly: Utilize automated market scans to find the best trading opportunities based on real-time data.
  • Receive Optimal Trade Structuring: Get tailored options strategies that match your market outlook and risk preferences.
  • Save Time with Actionable Insights: Access comprehensive trade ideas within seconds, eliminating hours of research and analysis.

Don’t miss out on potential trading opportunities. Subscribe to the OptionsPlay Strategy Center today and enhance your trading experience with tools designed to keep you ahead in the market. Empower your investment decisions and find the best options trades swiftly every day. Let OptionsPlay be your partner in navigating the markets more effectively.


In this video, Dave reflects on the shape of the yield curve during previous bull and bear cycles with the help of StockCharts’ Dynamic Yield Curve tool. He shares insights on interest rates as investors prepare for the final Fed meeting of 2024, and shares two additional charts he’ll be watching to evaluate market conditions going into 2025.

This video originally premiered on December 2, 2024. Watch on our dedicated David Keller page on StockCharts TV!

Previously recorded videos from Dave are available at this link.

In this exclusive video, Julius analyzes the completed monthly charts for November and assesses the long-term trends for all sectors. What we can expect for the coming month of December based on seasonality? With the technology sector under pressure, an interesting opportunity appears to be arising in Financials.

This video was originally published on December 2, 2024. Click anywhere on the icon above to view on our dedicated page for Julius.

Past videos from Julius can be found here.

#StayAlert, -Julius

Blackstone Minerals Limited (ASX: BSX) (“Blackstone” or the “Company”) advises that the Company has completed its Accelerated Non-Renounceable Entitlement Offer as per the terms of the Prospectus dated 4 November 2024 (“Entitlement Offer”). As announced on 6 November 2024, the institutional component of the Entitlement Offer was completed raising approximately $550k from Nanjia Capital Limited and its controlled entities.

Under the Entitlement Offer, eligible shareholders were invited to subscribe for one (1) New Share for every four (4) existing Shares held at an offer price of $0.03 per share.

The Company has now closed the retail component of the Entitlement Offer with applications totalling 2,767,788 shares including additional acceptances to be issued at $0.03 on top of the 18,650,023 shares issued under the institutional component of the Entitlement Offer on 15 November 2024. In accordance with the timetable, the New Shares will be issued on or before 4 December 2024.

The retail component of the Entitlement Offer is partially underwritten by Nanjia Capital Limited “(Nanjia”) for the amount of approximately $1.09m. Accordingly, Nanjia will now subscribe for 36,349,900 New Shares in accordance with the underwriting arrangements summarised in section 7.4(b) of the Prospectus and the Company expects to finalise this process within the next week.

Shortfall Share Placement

A total of 74,946,591 New Shares were not taken up under the Entitlement Offer by eligible securityholders or issued to Nanjia as underwriter (“Shortfall Shares’”) The directors will work with the lead manager to the Entitlement Offer and the major shareholders to place the shortfall within three (3) months of the closing date, subject to requirements of the ASX Listing Rules and Corporations Act 20021 (Cth) continuing to be met. Please refer to the Prospectus dated 4 November 2024 for further details on the issue of the shortfall.

Click here for the full ASX Release

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Metals Exploration (LSE:MTL) has confirmed its intent to explore the acquisition of Condor Gold (LSE:CNR,TSX:COG,OTC Pink:CNDGF), offering a blend of shares, cash and contingent value rights (CVRs).

Meanwhile, Calibre Mining (TSX:CXB,OTCQX:CXBMF) has clarified that it is not pursuing any deal with Condor, distancing itself from earlier reports of interest in Condor’s La India gold project.

Metals Exploration announced its proposal on Monday (December 2), saying that it values Condor’s existing share capital at approximately 67.5 million pounds (US$85.4 million).

The CVRs would give Condor shareholders access to a share of potential future revenues from additional gold resources discovered at Condor’s projects, capped at 1.6 million ounces over five years.

If fully realized, the CVRs could add 22.6 million pounds to the total consideration.

Galloway, owned by Jim Mellon, non-executive chair of Condor, has pledged to support the proposed acquisition. This support includes Galloway’s 24.7 percent stake in Condor and additional shares through warrant exercises.

Prior to Metals Exploration and Calibre’s clarifying press releases, Condor said on Sunday (December 1) that it had received non-binding offers from both Metals Exploration and Calibre.

As mentioned, Calibre has denied any active interest in acquiring Condor or its La India project.

In its own Sunday statement, the Canadian mid-tier gold producer acknowledged past discussions with Condor regarding La India, but emphasized that no current talks or offers are in place.

“At this time, unless Condor is willing to reengage in meaningful discussions, Calibre does not envision completing an acquisition,” said the company, which operates a hub-and-spoke system in Nicaragua, where La India is located.

La India has been on the market for over two years, with Condor engaging in sale discussions with various parties.

In September, Condor said it was in discussions for an asset-only sale of the project. The announcement highlighted that the sale process aimed to unlock value for shareholders by seeking buyers capable of advancing La India.

At the time, Condor emphasized the project’s potential, underpinned by a feasibility study confirming robust economics and a resource base of over 1.1 million ounces of gold.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Red Metal Resources Ltd. (CSE: RMES) (OTC Pink: RMESF) (FSE: I660) is pleased to announce that it has executed a Definitive Agreement (the ‘Agreement’) with an arm’s length vendor to acquire a 100% interest in three separate mineral claims packages, highly prospective for Hydrogen located in the Larder Lake Mining District of Ontario, along the Quebec border near the town of Ville-Marie, QC.

These claim blocks consist of three separate packages, covering 149 mineral claims and totaling approximately 3,246 hectares and were acquired due to their proximity and similar geological setting to that of Quebec Innovative Materials Corp.’s (‘QIMC’) recent hydrogen-in-soil discovery in the Saint-Bruno-de-Guigues area, of over 1,000 ppm, announced on September 4th 2024.

This news release contains information about adjacent properties on which the Company has no right to explore or mine. Investors are cautioned that mineral deposits on adjacent properties are not indicative of mineral deposits on the Company’s properties.

Figure 1. RMES 7 Mineral Claim blocks in Ontario and Quebec in proximity to recent Hydrogen discovery

To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/4932/232251_ed088bbe24f4c93a_001full.jpg

Red Metal’s total portfolio of claim blocks in this highly prospective discovery area, now consist of seven separate packages, covering 172 mineral claims and totaling over 4,546 hectares to the North, Northeast and the Southwest of QIMC’s Hydrogen-in-soil sample discovery as well as covering similar geology to the west into Ontario. These claim blocks are contiguous on three sides to Quebec Innovative Materials Corp. and cover possible extensions in multiple directions. To date, 164 of the 172 claims have been approved by the Quebec Ministry of Natural Resources and Forests and the Ontario ministry of mines.

Ontario’s Firstbrook Township hosts documented occurrences of copper, lead, cobalt, silver and kimberlite. The area boasts excellent infrastructure, including power and easy road access.

Geologic or white hydrogen offers a clean, renewable and potentially abundant source of energy with a range of environmental and economic benefits. Its carbon-free nature, high energy density and compatibility with existing infrastructure make it a promising solution for meeting future energy needs and achieving global climate goals.

Red Metal Resources President and CEO, Caitlin Jeffs stated,‘We have added a significant and highly prospective package of three additional claim blocks in Ontario to our existing mineral claims portfolio next to QIMC in Quebec. Red Metal is actively planning an extensive exploration program to encompass its Quebec and Ontario claims including directly next to QIMC’s recent hydrogen discovery. These new Ontario claims increase our exposure to this exciting discovery area and highlight the potential for new discoveries of hydrogen as well as base and previous metals as we continue to advance our Carrizal Copper/Gold property in Cordillera, Chile.’

Red Metal Resources is planning an initial exploration program that could include but not limited to:

  • Gas sampling from the soil and underwater surveys in Timiskaming Lake. These surveys can be used to locate degassing zones associated with faults in the Timiskaming rift.

  • Gravimetry and audiomagnetotellurism (AMT) geophysics to assess variations in the thickness of local sedimentary rock deposits (gravity troughs) over the Archean basement. AMT data will assist in locating graben-related faults in the St-Bruno-de-Guigue area that are covered by quaternary sediments.

  • Regional remote sensing gas surveys to identify specific targets to provide useful remote sensing data for hydrogen and helium exploration.

  • Fieldwork can be carried out with access to properties through main roads and paved highways.

The Company is currently reviewing regional geologic data to assist in the evaluation of potential additional acquisitions in the immediate area as well as the formulation of an initial exploration plan with further details to be provided in due course.

Terms of the Agreement

Under the terms of the Agreement to acquire a 100% interest in 149 mineral claims, Company has agreed to pay $8,000 and issue 2.25 million common shares of the Company. No royalty is to be paid out of any potential future revenue. The Company’s acquisition of the Property remains subject to customary conditions of closing, including the Company completing due diligence to its satisfaction and the approval of the Canadian Securities Exchange (if required), and is expected to complete shortly. The common shares issuable in connection with the Agreement will be subject to a four month hold period under applicable Canadian securities laws.

Qualified Person

The technical content of this news release has been reviewed and approved by Caitlin Jeffs, P. Geo, who is a Qualified Person (‘QP’) as defined in National Instrument 43-101, Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.

About Red Metal Resources Ltd.

Red Metal Resources is a mineral exploration company focused on growth through acquiring, exploring and developing clean energy and strategic minerals projects. The Company’s current portfolio include the 100% owned Ville Marie claims in Quebec, Canada as well as Company’s Chilean projects which are located in the prolific Candelaria iron oxide copper-gold (IOCG) belt of Chile’s coastal Cordillera. Red Metal is quoted on the Canadian Securities Exchange under the symbol RMES, on OTC Link alternative trading system on the OTC Pink marketplace under the symbol RMESF and on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange under the symbol I660.

For more information, visit www.redmetalresources.com.

Contact:
Red Metal Resources Ltd.
Caitlin Jeffs, President & CEO
1-866-907-5403
invest@redmetalresources.com
www.redmetalresources.com

Forward-Looking Statements – All statements in this press release, other than statements of historical fact, are ‘forward-looking information’ within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Red Metal provides forward-looking statements for the purpose of conveying information about current expectations and plans relating to the future and readers are cautioned that such statements may not be appropriate for other purposes. By its nature, this information is subject to inherent risks and uncertainties that may be general or specific and which give rise to the possibility that expectations, forecasts, predictions, projections or conclusions will not prove to be accurate, that assumptions may not be correct and that objectives, strategic goals and priorities will not be achieved. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to the ability to raise adequate financing, receipt of required approvals, as well as those risks and uncertainties identified and reported in Red Metal’s public filings under its SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca. Although Red Metal has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual actions, events or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause actions, events or results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Red Metal disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise unless required by law.

Neither the Canadian Securities Exchange nor the Market Regulator (as that term is defined in the policies of the Canadian Securities Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/232251

News Provided by Newsfile via QuoteMedia

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Cannabis sales in the US reached a record high in October, with retail transactions totaling approximately US$2.8 billion, according to data from LeafLink, a wholesale cannabis platform.

While sales saw a slight 2.1 percent dip compared to September, they were up 6.2 percent year-on-year. Total retail cannabis sales in 2024 are expected to hit US$32.6 billion, representing a 10.8 percent increase over the previous year.

LeafLink attributes much of this growth to new licenses in states such as New York, New Jersey and Ohio.

Overall, the company projects that 5,000 new non-multi-state operator retailers will open over the next 24 to 36 months. That would represent a 70 percent increase in store count, excluding Oklahoma.

The firm expects the cannabis market to reach US$55 billion by 2030, growing at an annual rate of 11 percent.

Seasonal cannabis trends and price dynamics

LeafLink also highlights trends in cannabis pricing and product preferences.

Cannabis flower remains the most popular product, accounting for 40 percent of retail sales and 39 percent of wholesale sales. Vape cartridges are next in line, accounting for 22 percent of wholesale sales, while edibles, pre-rolls and concentrates account for 14, 13 and 12 percent of wholesale sales, respectively.

Cannabis flower prices averaged US$1,065 per pound in October, a decrease of about US$100 from summer peak levels. Seasonal outdoor harvests in states like Michigan and Arizona contributed to oversupply, driving down prices.

Reduced cultivation capacity in mature markets like California, Oregon and Colorado may stabilize prices.

Maryland and Arkansas saw contrasting price trends during the period, with Maryland experiencing a 23.2 percent price drop and Arkansas reporting a 20.7 percent increase.

LeafLink notes in its report that the growth of the cannabis market is tied to the rollout of operator licenses and the resolution of supply chain bottlenecks. New markets like New York, where monthly sales have tripled in 2024, are poised to make a sudden impact on the overall cannabis supply chain.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com