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In the early hours of Thursday, March 23, 2023, residents in the German town of Kronberg were woken from their sleep by several explosions.

Criminals had blown up an ATM located below a block of flats in the town center.

The attack caused severe damage to the building and forced the evacuation of its inhabitants. According to local media reports, witnesses saw people dressed in dark clothing fleeing in a black car towards a nearby highway.

During the heist, thieves stole 130,000 euros in cash. They also caused an estimated half a million euros worth of collateral damage, according to a report by Germany’s Federal Criminal Police Office, BKA.

Rather than staging dramatic and risky bank robberies, criminal groups in Europe have been targeting ATMs as an easier and more low-key target.

In Germany – Europe’s largest economy – thieves have been blowing up ATMs at a rate of more than one per day in recent years. In a country where cash is still a prevalent payment method, the thefts can prove incredibly lucrative, with criminals pocketing hundreds of thousands of euros in one attack.

Europol has been cracking down on the robberies, carrying out large cross-border operations aimed at taking down the highly-organized criminal gangs behind them.

Earlier this month, authorities from Germany, France and the Netherlands arrested three members of a criminal network who have been carrying out attacks on cash machines using explosives, Europol said in a statement.

Since 2022, the detainees are believed to have looted millions of euros and run up a similar amount in property damage, from 2022 to 2024, Europol said.

The criminal network used locations in France as “hideaway spots” and relied on getaway cars hired from a French rental company, according to the statement.

The arrests came as part of a wider operation by German, French and Dutch investigators, which also saw law enforcement search car rental companies whose vehicles had been used to flee crime scenes, in an “action day” across locations in the three countries.

Europol says that perpetrators have mostly been using solid explosives, mainly derived from fireworks, to explode the cash-filled machines – a dangerous tactic that results in heavy damage. In 2023, the lootings in Germany caused 28.4 million euros worth of secondary damage alone, according to BKA.

Often based in the Netherlands, the gangs “take extreme risks and act unscrupulously,” Europol says, both during the robberies themselves and the ensuing escapes in high-powered vehicles.

The chosen ATMs are often in quieter, residential areas – making them easier targets. According to Europol, this means that they pose a serious harm to buildings and residents. The attacks can crumble building facades and scatter shards of glass.

In some cases, they can even prove fatal.

On November 11, an ATM robbery in the town of Wiernsheim in the German state of Baden Württemberg ended in disaster. After stealing 40,000 euros in cash, a criminal trio from the Netherlands attempted a high-speed getaway in a VW Golf with stolen license plates, according to local media reports. Pursued by police, they drove the wrong way down Germany’s A6 motorway.

Two of the three criminals were caught at a rest stop, but the 30-year-old Dutch driver escaped and continued to drive against the traffic at speeds of up to 200 kilometers per hour, until colliding head-on with a van.

The driver and passenger in the truck were both severely injured, with the passenger dying in hospital days later. The driver, who was also heavily injured, was arrested and later sentenced to life in prison.

A rising crime

Germany has become Europe’s prime target for ATM bombings. And with its penchant for cash payments, it’s not hard to see why.

The country has more than 51,000 ATMs. In comparison, the Netherlands has around 5,000. The majority of Germany’s 83.3 million citizens have to travel no further than one kilometer to reach their nearest ATM, according to the central bank, Bundesbank.

Unlike its European neighbors, who largely transitioned away from cash payments due to the Covid-19 pandemic, cash still plays a significant role in Germany. One half of all transactions in 2023 were made using banknotes and coins, according to Bundesbank.

Germans have a cultural attachment to cash, traditionally viewing it as a safe method of payment. Some say it allows a greater level of privacy, and gives them more control over their expenses.

A 2016 study by the Bundesbank found that cash is particularly prevalent among older generations of Germans, meaning lingering memories of the country’s turbulent recent history could play a role in Germany’s reluctance to go digital.

“Neither digitalisation nor the pandemic have been able to oust cash. When it comes to making payments, cash is still by far the most popular means in Germany,” Bundesbank’s Johannes Beermann said in a post-pandemic press release from 2022.

In terms of location, Germany is also an ideal target for cross-border crime: Neighboring the Netherlands and linked by motorways on some of which speed limits don’t apply. 

A decline in ATM machines in the Netherlands and the introduction of enhanced security measures to crack down on the crime – including the installation of glue protection systems that can render bank notes worthless – has also led Dutch criminals to look further afield, according to Reuters, citing Dutch police.

A 2023 BKA report notes that ATM robberies in Germany have been rising since 2005, although they dropped slightly from 2022 to 2023. Still, Germany counted a total of 461 such robberies in 2023 – the second-highest number since surveys began in 2005.

The report also found that, as with previous years, the number of thefts declined during the summer months in 2023 – when longer daylight hours provide a higher risk of being caught. The majority of the crimes took place on working weekdays, between 2 a.m. and 5 a.m., according to BKA.

“This extensive network has, in part, drawn organized criminal groups from abroad, seeing the density of ATMs and Germany’s demand for cash access as factors in their favor.”

German banks have invested over 300 million euros into enhanced security to tackle the issue, the spokesperson continued, including “alarm systems, ink staining solutions, reinforced locking mechanisms, and fogging technology.” However, certain techniques such as glueing systems to neutralize stolen cash are not currently permitted in Germany, the spokesperson added.

“These efforts, along with enhanced cooperation with police, have effectively reduced ATM attacks, with the Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) reporting that 2024 figures are already ‘significantly below last year’s,’” the spokesperson said.

In July, the German government announced that ATM robberies would receive harsher punishment. Thieves must be sentenced to at least two years in prison, when the previous minimum sentence was one year. If the health of an uninvolved person or people is affected, perpetrators must receive prison time ranging from five to fifteen years, up from at least two years previously.

“Anyone who blows up ATMs risks the lives of uninvolved people,” Interior Minister Nancy Faeser said.

“We are dealing here with unscrupulous perpetrators and highly dangerous explosives. These acts must therefore be punished more severely.”

This post appeared first on cnn.com

S&P 500 and Nasdaq: Prices and Targets for Friday

  • Wednesday, October 23rd, was very inactive for the S&P 500 as we saw a drop to 5761.8
  • The Nasdaq was under a lot of pressure on Wednesday, October 23, and we saw a drop to 19936.3

S&P 500 chart analysis

Wednesday, October 23rd, was very inactive for the S&P 500 as we saw a drop to 5761.8. The previous support at the 5840.0 level did not hold, and a pullback followed. After the new low, the index managed to start a bullish consolidation up to the 5820.0 level. There, we encountered the EMA 200 moving average, which did not allow us to continue on the bullish side, but a new pullback was initiated.

This time, we get support at the 2785.0 level. During this morning’s Asian session, the S&P 500 managed to stabilize and jump over the EMA 200 moving average. It would be nice to stay up there until the end of this week’s session to put us in a good position for next week. Potential higher targets are 5840.0 and 5850.0 levels. For a bearish option, we need a negative consolidation of the S&P 500 below the 5810.0 daily open level. With that step, we strengthen the bearish momentum, and it remains for the index to continue its retreat. Potential lower targets are 5800.0 and 5790.0 levels.

 

Nasdaq chart analysis

The Nasdaq was under a lot of pressure on Wednesday, October 23, and we saw a drop to 19936.3. After the formation of a new low, the index begins to recover and returns above the 20000.0 level. During this morning’s Asian session we get new support at 20250.0. In that zone, the EMA 200 creates additional support, and the Nasdaq continues up to the 20300.0 level. We are a little short of reaching the weekly open level and moving to the positive side.

Potential higher targets are 20400.0 and 20450.0 levels. For a bearish option, it is necessary for the Nasdaq to pull back below the daily open level. This moves us below the EMA 200 moving average. After that, we expect the rise of bearish momentum and the formation of a new daily low. Potential lower targets are 20200.0 and 20150.0 levels.

 

The post S&P 500 and Nasdaq: Prices and Targets for Friday appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

The global stock market is a big place, and it extends far beyond the borders of the United States. While the US market is undeniably the largest and often sets the pace for others, it’s revealing to step back and consider the global scene occasionally. This broader perspective can alert investors to significant shifts in stock market rotations worldwide, particularly when the US market has marched off on its own.

Current International Rotations

The Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) for international markets above plots several international stock market indices and benchmarks them against the Dow Jones Global Index ($DJW).

The S&P 500 ($SPX) is positioned very close to the center of the chart, hugging the benchmark. This proximity is expected, given that the US constitutes a hefty portion of the Dow Jones Global Index. However, the S&P 500 is also depicted with a short tail within the weakening quadrant, indicating a renewed up-move within the already rising relative trend.

Asian Markets Are Strong

Shifting our focus from the US, we observe several well-defined and robust relative trends in other markets. The Hang Seng Index ($HSI) in Hong Kong stands out, with its tail moving from the lagging quadrant through improving and into the leading quadrant over the last five weeks. This is the longest tail on the RRG, suggesting a powerful move with a positive RRG heading and the highest RS momentum and ratio readings.

Other markets showing positive trends include China ($SSEC) and Japan ($NIKK), both of which have transitioned from the lagging to the improving quadrant. This shift indicates a relative strength and momentum pickup, hinting at likely outperformance in the coming weeks.

Conversely, the Russian ($MOEX) and Korean ($KOSPI) stock market indices are picking up relative momentum but remain within the lagging quadrant, continuing to underperform.

Where is the Money Flowing?

If we assume that global stock market money migrates to the most promising locations, we will notice outflows from certain markets. For instance, India’s CNX 500 has seen its tail move from the leading quadrant through weakening. It is rapidly approaching the lagging quadrant, signaling a shift to underperformance, particularly against the Asian markets and the S&P 500.

Several markets, including the Australian All Ordinaries Index ($AORD), the DJ Europe index ($E1DOW), the Brazilian Bovespa index ($BVSP), and the Mexican Bolsa Index ($MXX) exhibit negative headings closer to the benchmark. The Brazilian market, in particular, shows a long tail crossing into the lagging quadrant. At the same time, the Mexican Bolsa completed a rotation of lagging-improving-lagging at very low RS-ratio levels. This makes it one of the weaker and more dangerous markets from a relative perspective.

Hang Seng Index vs. Indian CNX 500

The Hang Seng Index and the Indian CNX 500 present contrasting trends.

After a prolonged decline, the $HSI has formed a broad trading range and is currently testing a significant resistance level. A break above this resistance could signal substantial upside potential, with relative strength indicators suggesting a bottoming out and a potential shift in trend.

In contrast, the Nifty 500 index in India has completed a toppish formation, with relative strength trending downward. This points to further underperformance and a negative price trajectory for the Indian market.

Zooming in on the daily chart of the Nifty 500 shows that an H&S top formation has just completed, signalling weakness not only from a relative perspective but also in terms of price.

S&P 500 vs. European Markets

The S&P 500 and European markets are also moving in opposite directions.

The Dow Jones Europe index has encountered resistance and shows a breakdown in relative strength versus the global benchmark, confirming a relative downtrend.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has broken to new highs in relative strength, affirming its relative uptrend.

Key Takeaways

From an international perspective, the Hang Seng index and the S&P 500 exhibit positive rotations, while the Nifty 500 and European markets are on a negative trajectory. It’s important to note that the strength of the S&P 500 does not guarantee its continued rise; it simply indicates that, at present, it is outperforming many other markets.

By analyzing relative strengths and rotations using Relative Rotation Graphs, investors can gain insights into where the markets may be heading vis-a-vis each other and make more informed decisions.

#StayAlert and have a great weekend, –Julius


When I was growing up, I loved Choose Your Own Adventure books. I see the world in shades of gray instead of black-and-white, so I was immediately drawn to the seemingly endless scenarios that the main characters could experience as I made different choices for them.

As investors, we often get so caught up in one particular market narrative that we are unable to think “outside the box” and consider other possible outcomes. Successful investors I’ve worked with have been exceptionally good at looking at all the possibilities, challenging their own investment thesis by opening themselves up to other options.

Today, we’ll walk through four potential outcomes for the S&P 500 index over the next six to eight weeks. As I share each of these four future paths, I’ll describe the market conditions that would likely be involved, and I’ll also share my estimated probability for each scenario.  

By the way, we ran through four scenarios for the S&P 500 back in July, and you may be surprised to see which scenario actually played out!

And remember, the point of this exercise is threefold:

  1. Consider all four potential future paths for the index, think about what would cause each scenario to unfold in terms of the macro drivers, and review what signals/patterns/indicators would confirm the scenario.
  2. Decide which scenario you feel is most likely, and why you think that’s the case. Don’t forget to drop a comment and let me know your vote and what you think will cause that scenario to play out.
  3. Think about how each of the four scenarios would impact your current portfolio. How would you manage risk in each case? How and when would you take action to adapt to this new reality?

Let’s start with the most bullish scenario, where the S&P 500 keeps going with a consistent pace and breaks above 6000 by early December.

Option 1: The Super Bullish Scenario

The S&P 500 has experienced a remarkably strong run off the low in early August. This first scenario would mean a continuation of the pace of the current trend, suggesting the SPX would remain above a trendline drawn from the August and September lows. This scenario would include the S&P breaking above 6000 for the first time, and by early December, we’d be wondering how we made it through an entire calendar year with the biggest drawdown sitting at just less than 10%.

Dave’s Vote: 5%

Option 2: The Mildly Bullish Scenario

Let’s say that Trump wins a second term, and investors see that as a fairly pro-business and pro-market outcome. At the same time, however, new economic data and the November Fed meeting leave investors a little skeptical of the Fed’s ability to navigate the soft landing scenario into early 2025.

The second scenario would mean we drift a bit higher, but breadth conditions break down as investors gravitate to Magnificent 7 stocks and other safe havens as the VIX pushes above 20. We don’t see a major correction into early December, but it still feels like one is just around the corner and everyone’s talking about overvaluations and a potential Q1 pullback.

Dave’s vote: 25%

Option 3: The Mildly Bearish Scenario

A Harris victory could certainly weigh on the markets as we progress through Q4, as we realize how much investors had been pricing in a Republican White House. Skepticism of the Fed reaches a fever pitch as we’re no longer talking about a potential soft landing, but rather when the next major correction will play out. Volume and breadth divergences that have been growing in October continue to play out, and a 2018-style Q4 drop becomes our reality in 2024.

Dave’s vote: 50%

Option 4: The Very Bearish Scenario

You always need a “doomsday” scenario, where things get bad and stay bad. What if the S&P 500 starts selling off as a frustrating earnings season leads into a contentious election and a November Fed meeting raises more questions than answers? Paul Tudor Jones famously remarked, “Nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average.” And in this scenario, that’s exactly what we’re facing in December as we wonder where how and why the normal Q4 rally is nowhere to be seen.

Dave’s vote: 20%

What probabilities would you assign to each of these four scenarios? Check out the video below, and then drop a comment with which scenario you select and why!

RR#6,

Dave

P.S. Ready to upgrade your investment process? Check out my free behavioral investing course!


David Keller, CMT

President and Chief Strategist

Sierra Alpha Research LLC


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

Although earnings season is in full swing, trading volume has been relatively light this week. Perhaps investors are waiting for the stock market to show some direction. It could happen next week, one that’s jampacked with earnings and market-moving economic data, or the following week after the US election and Fed meeting.

A Bird’s-Eye View Of the Stock Market

Tesla’s upbeat Q3 earnings on Thursday juiced up the Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ), the laggard of the three US broad market indexes. This price action continued into Friday, with the Nasdaq reaching a record high. Sadly, it couldn’t hold on to it, but still managed to close higher by 0.56%. The S&P 500 ($SPX) and Dow Jones ($INDU) snapped their six-week winning streak, but the Nasdaq retained its seven-week winning streak.

Technology was the top-performing sector on Friday, followed by Consumer Discretionary and Communication Services (see the StockCharts MarketCarpets screenshot below). It looked like the stock market had regained its mojo for a little while, but the week ended without giving investors much of a sense of direction. Next week could be a different story, since most mega-cap Tech stocks will report quarterly earnings.

FIGURE 1. STOCKCHARTS MARKETCARPET, OCTOBER 25, 2024. Technology regained its top spot in sector performance on Friday. Next week is a big earnings week for technology companies. Will they impress or disappoint?Image source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The US dollar and precious metals traded higher this week. The 10-year US Treasury Yield Index ($TNX) bounced off its 200-day simple moving average and closed at 4.23% (see daily chart of $TNX below).

FIGURE 2. DAILY CHART OF 10-YEAR US TREASURY YIELD INDEX ($TNX). $TNX bounced off the 200-day moving average and moved higher. The rise in yields suggests investors are uncertain about near-term market direction.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Seeing gold, the US dollar, and Treasury yields rally simultaneously is unusual and is an indication of investor uncertainty. So far, the three seem to be holding on to their uptrends. Whenever there’s a slight pullback, they recover quickly and move higher, suggesting that these assets have momentum behind them. The chart below displays the US dollar ($USD), SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), and $TNX.

FIGURE 3. THE US DOLLAR, GOLD, AND YIELDS. Gold has been trending higher in 2024, whereas the US dollar and yields still display a series of lower highs and lower lows.Chart source: StockChartsACP. for educational purposes.

Even though the US dollar and 10-year yields are rising, they haven’t yet established an uptrend. Gold, on the other hand, has been on an upward trend in 2024. 

If you hold a long position in gold, ride the momentum, but know that it could dry up. It’s a good idea to start thinking about managing your position. Gold prices are looking extended, and with Treasury yields and the US dollar as high as they are, I would watch them closely for a reversal, as it could cause gold prices to fall.

Looking Forward

Next week, we will have some key economic data that could influence the Fed’s interest rate decision at their November 7 meeting. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, a 25 basis point cut probability is 95.5%. This could change as economic data comes in next week. If the data supports a strengthening US economy, investors may think the Fed will not cut rates at the next meeting. This could give rise to fear, which in turn spikes volatility.

The Cboe Volatility Index ($VIX) closed higher, but is still relatively low at 20.33. Keep an eye on it, because even a little negative news could send it higher.

Next week is chock full of market-moving events. Earnings from mega-cap Tech and other large-cap companies, plus key economic data (see the End-of-Week Wrap-Up section below), are among them. If trading volatility remains anemic next week, then you know that investors are having the election jitters. You may have to wait another week for trading volume to pick up.

In the meantime, it’s best to exercise patience and focus more on managing your portfolio holdings. If you are going to add positions, keep your sizes small to minimize your risks. The stock market is vulnerable and could make large moves in either direction.

End-of-Week Wrap-Up

  • S&P 500 closed down 0.96% for the week, at 5808.12, Dow Jones Industrial Average down 2.68% for the week at 42,114.40; Nasdaq Composite closed up 0.16% for the week at 18,690.01
  • $VIX up 12.76% for the week, closing at 20.33
  • Best performing sector for the week: Consumer Discretionary
  • Worst performing sector for the week: Materials
  • Top 5 Large Cap SCTR stocks: Applovin Corp. (APP); Carvana (CVNA); Insmed Inc. (INSM); Ubiquiti, Inc. (UI); MicroStrategy, Inc. (MSTR)

On the Radar Next Week

  • September JOLTS Report
  • Q3 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv
  • September PCE Price Index
  • October Jobs Report
  • October ISM Manufacturing PMI
  • Earnings from Alphabet (GOOGL), AMD, Microsoft (MSFT), Meta Platforms (META), Amazon, Inc. (AMZN), Apple Inc. (AAPL), McDonald’s Corp (MCD), Pfizer, Inc. (PFE), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), Microstrategy (MSTR), Carvana (CVNA), and many more.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

In this StockCharts TV video, Mary Ellen shares how the markets trade right before the elections, and also reviews the move in Tesla (TSLA) after reporting earnings. She shares examples of what to watch for if your stock is due to report earnings – and what to do if it gaps down.

This video originally premiered October 25, 2024. You can watch it on our dedicated page for Mary Ellen on StockCharts TV.

New videos from Mary Ellen premiere weekly on Fridays. You can view all previously recorded episodes at this link.

If you’re looking for stocks to invest in, be sure to check out the MEM Edge Report! This report gives you detailed information on the top sectors, industries and stocks so you can make informed investment decisions.

In the fast-paced world of trading, success often hinges on screening for the best ideas in real-time to find trading opportunities. At OptionsPlay, we are committed to providing our users with the latest cutting-edge tools to automate the manual process of researching options trades. This is why we are thrilled to announce a groundbreaking partnership with StockCharts.com, a leader in technical analysis, charting, and screening.

This new integration merges the world-class technical analysis screening capabilities of StockCharts with the powerful real-time options screening and strategy tools of OptionsPlay, delivering fully personalized opportunities for options traders in real-time.

A Powerful Synergy for Traders

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  • Comprehensive Technical Analysis. StockCharts.com is renowned for its extensive charting tools and real-time screening capabilities.
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This partnership between StockCharts.com and OptionsPlay is more than just a combination of tools—it’s a fusion of expertise designed to elevate your trading. Whether you are a technical analyst looking to incorporate options into your strategy or an options trader seeking the precision of top-tier charting, this integration offers a comprehensive solution that caters to all your trading needs.

What This Means for You

This integration opens up new possibilities for our valued StockCharts users. You no longer have to switch between platforms or manually piece together disparate data points. Instead, you can enjoy a unified, streamlined experience that combines the strengths of two leading platforms.

Imagine analyzing a stock’s trend on a StockCharts.com chart and immediately viewing the best options strategies available for that stock—all within the same screen. With this integration, you can identify trading opportunities for options trades within seconds.

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(TheNewswire)

VANCOUVER, BC T he N ewswire October 25, 2024 Element79 Gold Corp. (CSE: ELEM) (OTC: ELMGF) (FSE: 7YS) (‘Element79’, or the ‘Company ‘) is pleased to announce it is launching a non-brokered private placement of up to 10,000,000 units (the ‘Units’), at a price of $0.10 per Unit for gross proceeds of up to $1,000,000 (the ‘Offering’). The Units will consist of one common share of the Company (‘Share’) and one share purchase warrant (‘Warrant’). Each Warrant will be exercisable by the warrant holder to acquire one (1) additional Share at a price of CAD$0.15 for a period of 24 months from the closing of the Offering.

The Warrants are subject to an acceleration clause, whereby if the closing price of the common shares of the Company on the Canadian Securities Exchange (the ‘CSE’) is equal to $0.20 or higher for ten consecutive trading days, the Company may accelerate the expiry of the Warrants to the date that is 30 business days from the date of the issuance of a news release by the Company announcing the exercise of the acceleration right.

Element79 will use the net proceeds from the Offering with a targeted 70% to be invested into projects (85% Lucero, 15% Clover), 15% for corporate operations/audit and 15% to Investor Relations/Marketing.

The issuance of securities in connection with this Offering will be subject to Canadian Securities Exchange approval and the securities will be subject to a statutory hold period of four months plus one day from the date of issuance in accordance with applicable Canadian securities laws.

About Element79 Gold Corp.

Element79 Gold is a mining company with a focus on exploring and developing its past-producing, high-grade gold and silver mine, the Lucero project located in Arequipa, Peru, with the intent to restart production at the mine and through reprocessing its tailings, in the near term.

The Company holds a portfolio of four properties along the Battle Mountain trend in Nevada, and the projects are believed to have significant potential for near-term resource development. The Company has retained the Clover project for resource development purposes and signed a binding agreement to sell three projects with a closing date on or before November 30, 2024.

The Company also holds an option to acquire a 100% interest in the Dale Property, 90 unpatented mining claims located approximately 100 km southwest of Timmins, Ontario, and has recently announced that it has transferred this project to its wholly owned subsidiary, Synergy Metals Corp, and is advancing through the Plan of Arrangement spin-out process.

For more information about the Company, please visit www.element79.gold

Contact Information

For corporate matters, please contact:

James C. Tworek, Chief Executive Officer

E-mail: jt@element79.gold

For investor relations inquiries, please contact:

Investor Relations Department

Phone: +1.403.850.8050

E-mail: investors@element79.gold

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements

This press contains ‘forward‐looking information’ and ‘forward-looking statements’ under applicable securities laws (collectively, ‘forward‐looking statements’). These statements relate to future events or the Company’s future performance, business prospects or opportunities that are based on forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and assumptions of management made considering management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: the Company’s business strategy; future planning processes; exploration activities; the timing and result of exploration activities; capital projects and exploration activities and the possible results thereof; acquisition opportunities; and the impact of acquisitions, if any, on the Company. Assumptions may prove to be incorrect and actual results may differ materially from those anticipated. Consequently, forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed. As such, investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements as there can be no assurance that the plans, assumptions or expectations upon which they are placed will occur. All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward‐looking statements. Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as ‘seek’, ‘anticipate’, ‘plan’, ‘continue’, ‘estimate’, ‘expect’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘project’, ‘predict’, ‘forecast’, ‘potential’, ‘target’, ‘intend’, ‘could’, ‘might’, ‘should’, ‘believe’ and similar expressions) are not statements of historical fact and may be ‘forward‐looking statements’.

Neither the Canadian Securities Exchange nor the Market Regulator (as that term is defined in the policies of the Canadian Securities Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

Copyright (c) 2024 TheNewswire – All rights reserved.

News Provided by TheNewsWire via QuoteMedia

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

The gold price cooled on Wednesday (October 23) after soaring to a new high a day earlier.

The yellow metal slipped as low as US$2,714.16 per ounce after rising to just above US$2,750 on Tuesday (October 22). Market watchers have attributed the pullback to a stronger US dollar and better US Treasury yields.

These factors are counteracting safe-haven demand caused by geopolitical turmoil.

Even so, many experts believe gold’s move isn’t over. Its latest record extends a trend seen through 2024, and is being driven by several key factors, including central bank buying, inflation concerns and broader macro events.

Silver has been on the rise this week as well, nearly touching US$35 per ounce on Tuesday.

What’s driving gold and silver prices?

Industry insiders continue pointing to central bank buying as a reason that gold’s move still has legs.

Data from the World Gold Council suggests that central banks added to their gold reserves significantly in the first half of 2024, making gold the second largest global reserve asset, behind only the US dollar.

Interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve are also helping to boost gold’s appeal. The American central bank cut rates by 50 basis points in September and is expected to continue bringing them down.

Inflation concerns have played a critical role in gold’s price surge too.

Although US inflation has moderated in recent months, falling to 2.4 percent in September, the possibility of rising inflation in other parts of the world continues to drive demand for gold as a hedge.

Geopolitical risks are another factor influencing the price of gold. Tensions in the Middle East, particularly the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, have heightened market volatility, as has Russia’s war with Ukraine. Investors often turn to the yellow metal as a safe-haven asset during periods of geopolitical uncertainty.

Silver, often referred to as ‘poor man’s gold,’ has also experienced strong price growth, driven by its dual role as both a precious metal and an industrial commodity. Demand for silver is partly driven by its uses in renewable energy technologies, such as solar panels, which have experienced increased demand as part of the global energy transition.

While silver has benefited from industrial demand, it has also tracked gold’s performance as a precious metal.

The correlation between the two metals has strengthened in recent months as global economic concerns and inflationary pressures have prompted investors to seek out safe-haven assets.

Will gold and silver prices keep rising?

Looking ahead, market analysts remain bullish on the outlook for both gold and silver.

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) recently revised its price target for gold, forecasting that the metal could reach US$2,850 by the end of 2024. Others have even higher expectations, calling for US$3,000 as soon as this year.

Silver is expected to maintain its upward trajectory as well, particularly given its role in the energy transition.

Risks to both gold and silver include easing geopolitical tensions, while the silver price could face headwinds if global industrial demand slows due to a recession or other factors.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Palladium and platinum prices soared in recent trading sessions, reflecting the direct effects of heightened geopolitical tensions between Western powers and Russia.

On October 24, palladium prices surged by nearly 10 percent in a single day, reaching approximately US$1,168 per troy ounce. They surged even higher the following day, touching US$1,200 for the first time since since December 2023.

Platinum also experienced an uptick, although a less pronounced one. The metal’s price rose to about US$1,044, marking a five month high, although it pulled back after.

Over the past two months, the sister metals have seen considerable volatility. In late August, palladium reached a seven-year low of US$835. Its price following this recent surge represents an over 40 percent recovery from that low. Platinum has also followed a positive trajectory, recovering from levels of around US$900 during the same period.

Potential for G7 trade sanctions on Russian palladium drive price volatility

The rise in palladium prices can be attributed to the US Treasury’s call for stricter sanctions on Russian precious metals, which include both palladium and platinum.

The US recently proposed to its Group of Seven (G7) partners that they consider sanctioning Russian exports of key metals, including palladium and titanium.

A similar situation in December last year — when the UK banned certain Russian metal imports — saw an even larger price reaction, with palladium jumping around US$300, or 30 percent, within just five days.

It is worth noting that Russia is a major global supplier for the metals, accounting for approximately 40 percent of palladium and a significant portion of platinum production.

As the war in Ukraine continues, the US and its allies are concerned about the implications of Russian exports on global supply chains.

If G7 sanctions on Russian palladium exports were to materialize, the impact on the US market would be substantial.

Currently, the US is already facing a shortage of physical palladium, with domestic production unable to meet the demand, especially as Sibanye-Stillwater(NYSE:SBSW), one of the largest US sources of palladium, is planning to halve its platinum and palladium production at its mine in Montana next year.

Recycling palladium has not yet filled this gap, and much of the existing supply from South Africa has been accounted for, leaving few alternative sources for US consumers.

While G7 nations would face enforcement challenges due to the potential fallout across automotive, electronics and other palladium-dependent sectors, the possibility alone is reshaping market expectations

Russia proposes BRICS precious metals exchange at Summit

Russia may have some plans of its own. On Thursday (October 24), Reuters reported that at this years annual BRICS Summit, which concluded that day, Russia suggested the BRICS countries establish a precious metals exchange aimed at ensuring fair pricing and expanding trade within the bloc, according to Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov.

This proposal aligns with broader BRICS discussions on building financial infrastructure alternatives to counterbalance Western-dominated platforms.

The envisioned BRICS exchange would cover key aspects of precious metals trading, including creating benchmark price indicators, establishing standards for bullion production and trade, and providing clearing and auditing instruments for market participants.

These mechanisms would offer an alternative to longstanding Western exchanges such as the London Metal Exchange (LME), and act as a safeguard against sanctions affecting BRICS members.

The BRICS initiative could help Russia and its allies bypass these barriers, promoting freer trade within the bloc and offering member countries like China and India an alternative source for precious metals outside of Western markets.

For the US and Europe, this initiative signals a possible reduction in BRICS’ reliance on Western financial systems, potentially reshaping trade patterns for metals critical to industries like automotive, technology and jewelry.

However, Russia’s proposal to establish a new trading mechanism for precious metals within the BRICS framework has raised eyebrows among market players.

Such actions could complicate existing trade routes and affect pricing mechanisms, as the world’s primary market for palladium and platinum has historically been centered in London. Collectively, the market response to these geopolitical developments has been marked by an increase in speculative trading activity.

To illustrate, recent trading volumes for palladium and platinum have surged. For instance, the dramatic rise in palladium prices is notable given its primary use in autocatalysts for gasoline engines — a sector facing scrutiny as governments globally target net-zero carbon emissions.

As the US and its allies push for tighter sanctions, and as Russia seeks to forge new trading partnerships within BRICS, the market for these precious metals can expect further volatility moving forward

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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